Is intervention risk a meaningful consideration for a long-term trade involving Swissie or Yen?

Who said all Jews are in on it? But those elites who pull the strings behind the curtains are by majority Jews. Nothing wrong with that, just stating facts.

I wish he was just a little more specific.

P.S. Since GRULSTMRNN liked this is it safe to assume that this particular Jew was not part of the JOOS worldwide conspiracy? :D

P.P.S. Wait, I think I get it. It wasn't suicide. JOOS killed him for the grand betrayal of telling the truth about Japan!!@@@
 
I said specifically, in terms of demographics and that cannot be disputed.

That is your opinion not a fact. Dying? How is Japan today affected by lower birth rates?

Facts (economic indicators) seem to be pointing that Germany is already in recession. Auto sector problems are huge. Need I mention Deutsche Bank and how much major German banks are losing due to negative interest rates annually? Is all of this made up by JOOS?

Yep, Jewish editors of all major American news outlets constantly pronounce Germany in recession. Where are the facts? Germany is not in a recession. Check up on the definition of "recession". It is a definition that is derived from the state of equity markets and GDP. Perhaps you want to take a look at GDP levels in Germany and DAX levels. Deutsche's demise is of its own making, has nothing to do with the German economy at all. Where are the German Auto sector problems? Huge? Here the Flash report from July 2019:

German passenger car sales rise 4.7% in July
On August 2, the Germany Federal Motor Vehicle Office (KBA) announced that there were 332,788 new passenger car registrations in July, a 4.7% increase from the same month last year.
Year-to-date sales increased 1.2% with 2,181,788 cars registered in the first seven months of 2019.
Volkswagen brand sales of 61,783 units (18.6% market share) decreased 6.9% in July compared to the same month in 2018.
Mercedes-Benz sales of 31,072 units (9.3% share) increased 22.4% from last year.
Audi sales of 28,862 units (8.7% share) decreased 14.0% in July.
Ford sales of 26,404 units (7.9% share) increased 26.8% from last year.
BMW sales of 24,091 units (7.2% share) increased 32.0% from the same month last year.
Opel sales of 21,443 units (6.4% share) increased 23.2% in July.
Sales of 28,457 trucks in July represented an increase of 14.8 from the previous year’s results, while sales of 469 buses represented a increase of 13.0%.
In the first seven months of 2019, gasoline-powered vehicles accounted for a 58.2% market share, diesel vehicles had a 33.0% market share.
The VDA announced that monthly passenger car exports of 288,000 units had decreased 6% and domestic production of 359,400 units had decreased 5% from last July.

That's an extremely debatable nothing. I wouldn't call a dramatic rise in crime, especially rape nothing. Plus welfare state consequences caused by immigration. The "new Germans" are quite different from the "old Germans" on a number of socioeconomic dimensions and if you think mass importation of them has resulted in nothing... well

In the grand scheme of things it has not resulted in much, correct. The economy did not tank because of mass immigration, crime rates fell in fact to levels not seen in decades: https://www.thelocal.de/20190402/crime-in-germany-at-lowest-level-since-reunification

Negative pop growth already has a huge impact.

Really? What impact does it have on Japan right now?


If you think the neg pop growth in Japan is due to lack of childcare places that's an extremely very uninformed view.

Yes it has a huge impact. Women for the first time ever in Japan since about 5-10 years have become more independent and self-determined in their choice of life and life actualization. Women who have historically always taken on the role as a mother now want to also follow their career ambitions and many women if forced to make a choice rather prefer a career than being a stay-at-home-mom. The issue of lack of childcare and unflexible workplace policies still make it very difficult for women to follow a career path and raise children at the same time. There are other factors that drive lower birth rates in Japan as well, such as corporations replacing more and more full-time jobs with contract or part-time workers. Rising life expectancy obviously also is a major driver.


...besides obviously vividly underlining that the Japanese are not happier than Americans unless suicide is an indication of someone being happy.

What a stupid argument. By the same token, one could argue that Americans are the most pitiful and unhappiest creatures on earth judging from the number of homicides each year. Or mass killings. Or school shootings, or drug ODs.

I've discovered this is extremely regional. Do this in Utah. I felt I wasn't in America given how happy and kind people are there.

Perhaps, there might be pockets in America where people are happier than the rest. Overall, most of the country is infested by greed and with a constant hunt for more money to keep up with the wealth and reputation of the neighbor, people are constantly chasing after more and more and more. It's never enough. People literally kill for a few thousand bucks. Constant escapes from reality by using drugs. Do you know why your corporations all don't last too long? Because of greed. Never enough, first suck the consumer in, then lock him into your ecosystem, then fuck up the product with ever-rising prices and/or lower quality/quantity. Then consumers balk, a recession hits here or there and boom, company gone. Ever heard of Villeroy & Boch? German company. Founded in 1748, still exists and does fantastically well. What's the oldest company in the DOW? lol. That you call happy? I happily choose the Japanese or German version of happiness over the American non-Dream.





I said specifically, in terms of demographics and that cannot be disputed.



I tried to keep it pretty fact-based in what I wrote and I think I did a fair job. Don't see how any of it relates to the all-purpose JOOS-ARE-IN-YOUR-SOUP!



Facts (economic indicators) seem to be pointing that Germany is already in recession. Auto sector problems are huge. Need I mention Deutsche Bank and how much major German banks are losing due to negative interest rates annually? Is all of this made up by JOOS?



That's an extremely debatable nothing. I wouldn't call a dramatic rise in crime, especially rape nothing. Plus welfare state consequences caused by immigration. The "new Germans" are quite different from the "old Germans" on a number of socioeconomic dimensions and if you think mass importation of them has resulted in nothing... well :)



Negative pop growth already has a huge impact.



If you think the neg pop growth in Japan is due to lack of child care places that's an extremely very uninformed view.



...besides obviously vividly underlining that the Japanese are not happier than Americans unless suicide is an indication of someone being happy.



I've discovered this is extremely regional. Do this in Utah. I felt I wasn't in America given how happy and kind people are there.




Let me guess. JOOS? :)



Well, I agree happiness is not an exact science but the annual studies they do it every year are extremely legit and designed by very respected scientists from many countries. Wait... JOOS? :D
 
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Stop being mean to GRULSTMRNN. He will pout and leave the thread! :D

I don't relish being short those and getting debited a not insignificant swap rate. Plus some of those exotics experience a CHF style dislocation more often than I like.

But you said you don't like buying them either which would result in swap credits. This is due to the higher systemic risk of dislocation, right?
 
That is your opinion not a fact. Dying? How is Japan today affected by lower birth rates?

Of course Japan is demographically dying! It's not my opinion. It's a fact.

Birth rate 7.7 births/1,000 population (2017 est.)
Death rate 9.8 deaths/1,000 population (2017 est.)

When birth rate is sub-replacement the country is demographically dying. Belive it or not... this also applies to Japan. I understand you strongly dislike and protest the use of the word "dying" in the same sentence as "Japan" under any circumstances but it's widely-accepted and correct in this instance. And you can even use another, less "emotionally-charged" word. That would not change the underlying primary fact.

I feel you're not discussing rationally at this point so I'll bow out.
 
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yes

I like trading emerging markets and perhaps the more "exotic/frontier" the better. That's where the moves are. And they go to hell and back on a regular (annual?) schedule :) In fact, the other day I was looking into where USD/ARS is available. Only on institutional platforms. Just have to trade my way up there :) Then all your EM are belong to me :)
 
on g10 too though. remember the moves are less 'wild' but very trendy so one could imagine someone with the algorithmic potential trading their way up every 0.2 pips. a fairly convex situation would ensue where a large position may be accrued even if one were to only do 1m lots. profits would be covered with urgency possibly reversing the direction of the flow.
 
Ha, bro, you bowed out because all the arguments I threw back hit you too hard in the forehead. Half of your points you made up are factually wrong, such as higher crime rates in Germany or a crashing car industry, or a dying demographic in Japan. Here is your dying Japanese population, lol:

Screenshot_20190825-111433.png


Of course Japan is demographically dying! It's not my opinion. It's a fact.

Birth rate 7.7 births/1,000 population (2017 est.)
Death rate 9.8 deaths/1,000 population (2017 est.)

When birth rate is sub-replacement the country is demographically dying. Belive it or not... this also applies to Japan. I understand you strongly dislike and protest the use of the word "dying" in the same sentence as "Japan" under any circumstances but it's widely-accepted and correct in this instance. And you can even use another, less "emotionally-charged" word. That would not change the underlying primary fact.

I feel you're not discussing rationally at this point so I'll bow out.
 
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All depends on who messes with your brain, Jews or Russians....

Screenshot_20190825-183626.png


I said specifically, in terms of demographics and that cannot be disputed.



I tried to keep it pretty fact-based in what I wrote and I think I did a fair job. Don't see how any of it relates to the all-purpose JOOS-ARE-IN-YOUR-SOUP!



Facts (economic indicators) seem to be pointing that Germany is already in recession. Auto sector problems are huge. Need I mention Deutsche Bank and how much major German banks are losing due to negative interest rates annually? Is all of this made up by JOOS?



That's an extremely debatable nothing. I wouldn't call a dramatic rise in crime, especially rape nothing. Plus welfare state consequences caused by immigration. The "new Germans" are quite different from the "old Germans" on a number of socioeconomic dimensions and if you think mass importation of them has resulted in nothing... well :)



Negative pop growth already has a huge impact.



If you think the neg pop growth in Japan is due to lack of child care places that's an extremely very uninformed view.



...besides obviously vividly underlining that the Japanese are not happier than Americans unless suicide is an indication of someone being happy.



I've discovered this is extremely regional. Do this in Utah. I felt I wasn't in America given how happy and kind people are there.




Let me guess. JOOS? :)



Well, I agree happiness is not an exact science but the annual studies they do it every year are extremely legit and designed by very respected scientists from many countries. Wait... JOOS? :D
 
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