Is FX the most manipulated market ?

Quote from achilles28:

^To say the market doesn't move to screw the most people, makes me wonder if you actually know how to trade?
that's not my point. But why would't the market do that? Who's to say who's right and who's wrong when that happens? My point was everyone thinks it's stop running. It's not. My stops seem to be doing just fine @ 8-10 pips (which is a little wide so possibly that's why). I can't think of 1 thing in the past 2-3 years that I've seen that raised a red flag. Maybe that's because I've been more than willing to accept my fate. With that said, before those 2-3 years I didn't know how to trade so I saw all kinds of BS I thought was questionable. Like it or not, it's the cost of doing business. Best not to think like that and go on with your trading
 
Quote from athlonmank8:

that's not my point. But why would't the market do that? Who's to say who's right and who's wrong when that happens? My point was everyone thinks it's stop running. It's not. My stops seem to be doing just fine @ 8-10 pips (which is a little wide so possibly that's why). I can't think of 1 thing in the past 2-3 years that I've seen that raised a red flag. Maybe that's because I've been more than willing to accept my fate. With that said, before those 2-3 years I didn't know how to trade so I saw all kinds of BS I thought was questionable. Like it or not, it's the cost of doing business. Best not to think like that and go on with your trading

Sounds like you're profitable, but maybe don't get the mechanics...
 
Quote from achilles28:

^To say the market doesn't move to screw the most people, makes me wonder if you actually know how to trade?

oh come achilles surely you dont believe in all that shake and fake rubbish do you :D :D
 
Quote from trade2live:

In Market Wizards, Bill Lispchutz , the sultan of currencies is quoted as saying FX is all about relationships. That was in the days trading was done over the phone. I understand trading is still done that way for some type of trades for ex. between institutions and corporate treasuries. So my thinking is it must be
easy for bank market makers to exchange infos on transactions between themselves and with big customers and then collude to move prices a certain way. Has the FX market ever been investigated by regulators ?

As a FX trader I can almost feel the manipulation, , price will almost always go to where the maximum pain for traders is , just before reverting. I am convinced FX is manipulated at least in some ways, but what I don't understand is since it's mostly electronic nowadays , the manipulation should be on the decline, but it seems to be the opposite, in more than 5 years of FX trading, the B.S. has become the rule rather than an occasional occurence.
One explanation could be that one channel of info used by manipulators ( relationships) was replaced by another , dealers some of them control a large portion of retail trading know the stop orders and may be able to exploit them. Some firms , for ex. Dukascopy even seem to have developed programs that trade prop funds to take advantage of that kind of info (their managed account info used to state if I am not mistaken that they were able to take advantage of their position to achieve their returns) .

To me it seems that the door is open for the most egregious manipulations by those processing orders.

Everybody I guess would agree that B.S. is now a daily phenomenon, but would people with institutional experience agree that the B.S. moves are mostly engineered rather than the consequence of too many players chasing the same opportunities ?


Wimp! All your accusations are built into PRICE.
 
Quote from achilles28:

And how much is an FX Master like yourself pulling a day???? :D


So what is the exact process where a multi trillion dollar a day market can be manipulated?

Is there a secret bunker at an undisclosed location where the Masons or some global conspiracy decides when and how prices will move or do they scan the brokerage firms of the world, match open positions to people that post on ET and then manipulate the market to move against just those positions?

If it's the latter then just don't post on ET and you will be fine.
 
Quote from Jerry030:

So what is the exact process where a multi trillion dollar a day market can be manipulated?

Is there a secret bunker at an undisclosed location where the Masons or some global conspiracy decides when and how prices will move or do they scan the brokerage firms of the world, match open positions to people that post on ET and then manipulate the market to move against just those positions?

If it's the latter then just don't post on ET and you will be fine.

You don't get it. Evidently most people don't, which is why it works.

You're obviously a newb, too. Probably got less than 2 years experience. You've got a lot to learn, grasshopper. You actually think the markets are RANDOM?!?!

Good luck.
 
Quote from achilles28:

I have no direct knowledge but my own personal observations as an independent trader of 4 years.

FX is an unregulated market. By that definition alone, insider trading - in all its forms - is 100% legal. That includes frontrunning headline numbers, client orders, aggregated retail books, HFT's etc.

Based on price action, yes, FX is a constant suckering in of weak hands, to slam it back and run stops. Every market is like that. The appearance of more BS than usual is range contraction. Big flowy trends lends the appearance of orderly, natural markets. Even though on the micro level, the same games are played, just with larger consequences. When range contracts, the consequences of suckering aren't as pronounced, making trends shorter, with a 'quicker' opportunity to revert, which they often do. That said, I find FX to be more extreme. Whereas pullbacks in other instruments might be 50% of the last move, FX pullbacks are deep, severe, and designed to get everyone going the wrong way. Just a matter of perspective.

Judging from the performance of various funds, banks, and desks, the appearance of collusion is more myth than fact, imo. While I totally agree institutional sharks collude when they can, their annual performance doesn't bear that theory out, to much degree. The reason being, in my experience, the market has a natural ebb and flow where smart traders who understand how the market moves, can intuitively *feel* good levels as they come. This makes it especially difficult for manipulators to successfully collude, unless they're hugely levered one way. In a vastly deep market like FX, that's a big risk.


excellent post, Sir. :)
 
Quote from achilles28:

You don't get it. Evidently most people don't, which is why it works.

You're obviously a newb, too. Probably got less than 2 years experience. You've got a lot to learn, grasshopper. You actually think the markets are RANDOM?!?!

Good luck.

No, I didn't say the market was random.

Try rereading the post a few words at a time or get soemone who is a native English speaker to translate for you.

I asked how the Forex market is manipulated? By the Masons, the Jews, by some secret cabal? Who actually does it? How do they make it happen?

Do they manipulate all trades or just for people who post on ET?
 
to trade fx you at least need the basics of market structure. Heres a piece.... hope u find it useful


At the very top of the forex market are transactions which are collectively called Interbank transactions. The “Interbank” is not, as some people may believe, an exchange. Rather, it is a collection or compilation of agreements between and among the major money center banks in the world.

An example may make it easier to understand this thing we’re calling the “Interbank” market. In most larger offices or business, perhaps even in your own home, there may be several computers which are inter-connected by means of a simple network cable. Now, each computer operates independently until the moment it needs a resource, program or file from one of the other computers. When that happens, computer A will contact computer B (or C or D, etc.) and request permission to access the needed resource. If the owner or operator of Computer B authorizes it, and if Computer B is functioning the way it should be, then the needed file or program can be accessed. Within minutes, Computer A’s request is fulfilled. It works the same way in the forex market; just substitute Computer A and Computer B for Bank A and Bank B and let resources substitute for currency. You now have the machinations for the relationships that exist within the Interbank system.

By the same context, if you’ve ever tried to locate resources from a computer that isn’t united by a computer network, you probably know full well what a time consuming, inefficient, sometimes futile effort it can be. You have to search each and every independent computer until you’ve found your resource, copy it and then download it to your own computer. Regarding prices and forex currency inventory, the same issue exists within the Interbank market system. If a bank in Taiwan occasionally transacts business with a firm in Sao Paula they need to exchange their currency. In this case, it can be quite difficult to determine what the proper exchange rate between the New Taiwan Dollar and the Brazilian Real should be. Because of situations such as this, the Electronic Broking Service (EBS) and Reuters established their services. For simplicity, we’ll refer to this service as ESB.

In a way, the EBS service acts as a blanket over the Interbank communication links. Through the EBS service, Interbank members are able to see how much currency is available, and the price(s) the other Interbank participants are willing to pay. It’s important to understand that the EBS is not in itself a market nor is it a market maker. The EBS system is merely an application allowing bank members to see offers and bids from the other members.

The forex market’s second tier essentially exists within each individual bank. If you were to call your local Citibank branch, they can arrange for you to exchange your U.S. Dollar for the foreign currency of your choosing. In all probability, they will likely just move the desired currency from one bank branch to another one. This is known as a single party micro-exchange, so you are pretty much at their mercy as it applies to the foreign exchange rate you’re quoted. You can either accept their “kind” offer or shop around for a better rate. Anyone who trades in the forex market should consider paying their bank a visit, at least once, to have an idea of their quotes. Certainly, it will be very “enlightening,” if not downright shocking, to see just how profitable these transactions are… for your bank.

The third tier is the retail market. Established foreign exchange brokers such as Forex.com, Oanda and FXCM, etc. or any broker who wishes to set up a retail operation, needs first to find a liquidity provider. The large majority of these forex brokers sign an agreement with a single bank. This bank agrees to provide liquidity only under certain conditions: That is only if they can simultaneously hedge it on EBS, including their desired spread.

These spreads will be highly competitive, and that is because that volume will be much greater than any single bank patron would ever transact. Bear in mind, banks are in the business to make money, and third tier providers will almost never precisely match what actually exists on the Interbank system. Banks collect the spreads and no agreement between them and a forex retailer is going to alter their priority.

Think of retail forex as a kind of casino. Most of the participants have little or no knowledge of forex trading effectively or successfully and, as expected, they’re consistent losers. The forex broker has the house advantage because of the inherent spread system and the normal probability distribution of returns. What results, is a system that plays one loser against one winner and collects the spread. If there is a dis-equilibrium within their internal order book, a broker may hedge the exposure with their second tier liquidity provider.

Though it may not sound good, there are significant advantages to the speculators that work with them. Since it is “internal,” many features, such as high leverage on an account with only a small balance, a non-standard contract size, and commission-free transactions can be provided which may not be available through any other means.

An ECN or Electronic Communications Network operates similarly to a second tier bank, but it exists, rather, on the third tier. The ECN generally will establish a liquidity agreement with more than one second tier bank. Instead of internally matching the book orders, it just passes the quotes through from the banks, as they are, to be traded. You might look at it as an EBS, of sorts, intended for the little guys. While there may be several advantages to the model, it still isn’t the Interbank
 
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