is covid 19 what you call the "black swan?"

is the covid 19 the black swan?

  • Yes

    Votes: 26 74.3%
  • No

    Votes: 9 25.7%

  • Total voters
    35
First, it's not "corvid 19", but "covid-19".

With regards to the "black swan", I assume that you are referring to Nassim Taleb's theories. According to Nassim, a "black swan" event has these 3 attributes:

1. It is outside the realm of regular expectations
2. It carries an extreme impact
3. In spite of its outlier status, there are concocted explanations for its occurrence after the fact

Looks to me that coronavirus does qualify to be classified as a "black swan" event.

Wrong

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Black swan event is not objective, but subjective.
 
when this is all over, in hind sight, it will be remembered as one of the biggest episodes of human stupidity, panic over a flu.

market action wise.. it's all bs.

shake and awe...

hm, you did advocate getting 2nd mortgage and going all in when SPX was close to 3,400... you still not humbled ????
 
Lies, unless you shorted. And if you did, all your calls are outer BS.

idiot i went all in in 2016 when qQQ and aapl were $100, on top of all the stuff accumulated before... even after this drop I am still several $m in the money.
 
when this is all over, in hind sight, it will be remembered as one of the biggest episodes of human stupidity, panic over a flu.

market action wise.. it's all bs.

shake and awe...

Well, it is shutting down the economy and bankrupting businesses...the reaction is real.
 
Dozu sadly muppets are scared ability to reason goes out the window, we can't compete against the media despite its track record for lying to us, madness.

They admitted the deaths are mainly over laps, most deaths would of happened regardless, only 10% more deaths expected on the year if we'd of done nothing and ignored it.

There reported young people as deaths be cause they have it time of death, completely ignoring the little fact they got hit by a car ffs

Someone caught it agajn, 1 person ffs, but omg we can keep catching it again and again, definitely not a testing error ffs muppets.

I blame easily!y led can't think for themselves lefties who have no lives so there not missing out .

The death rate is 0.35% over the world population, china are on 0.02% so far, learn to understand the difference between tested rate and overall population

More people are going to starve to death than from the virus, lefties seem to think unlimited stock pile of food don't understand people need to go to work to make this food, when stock piles run out we are screwed.

All my leftie mates are autistic, can we stop letting autistic people bully using PC the intelligent people into doing stupid over reaction crap to keep them happy.
 
You only looking at the kill %, you not looking at the at total infection %.

If this thing is left unchecked will infect 50% of the population.Where as flu infects only 10% in any year.

It will infect 5x as many people and has at least 5x the kill rate. It will kill 25 times as many people as the flu. Over 1 million deaths in the USA vs 50, 000 for flu.


You get 90% of people with it wont get tested, the infected rate is only the tested people,90% dont get tested do you not understand so therefore the actual infected rate is likely 10% that.

14% of people tested with it have no symptons, so its possible 50% of the people with it will have no idea they've even had it so no reason to get tested

You lefties have finally fucked up the world like youve been after for ages well done :(
 
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