is covid 19 what you call the "black swan?"

[southall]

even if that.

age group data shows the deaths are in the 70-90 yo group... basically putting people out of misery.

and how about traffic kills? lifetime chance of dying in traffic is 1/100, still higher than corona, which is about 1/400 even if we take your numbers.

and how about cardiovascular? 1 in 5 chance to die that way, why are people still eating double cheese burgers.

You are making the same mistake as the Turveyd, None of those things you listed are highly infectious diseases.

They are easily handled by the system.

 

[schizo]

or is it something else?

Dead swan (I prefer fried over baked -- no politically correct crap for me)

 

[dozu888]

You are making the same mistake as the Turveyd, None of those things you listed are highly infectious diseases.

They are easily handled by the system.

your dead your dead... doesn't matter how you dead. infectious or not.

I already compared traffic/cardiovascular with your corona numbers, in the worst case scenario.

 

[schizo]

it's called WuFlu.

DO NOT wash your hands.... having bad hygene is the best defense.. you know why people are so afraid, because they keep their places so clean the immune system is under-trained... get a dog... the best immune booster.

ok maybe flu on steroids... still doesn't change the fact that lifetime chance of dying in traffic or cardiovascular is higher, and WAY higher for the latter.

dumping stock is not CYA.

Man where you getting your sources from. Healthy young crowds are getting sick too. It's only a matter of time before this blows up in your face.

 

[Overnight]

it's called WuFlu.

DO NOT wash your hands.... having bad hygene is the best defense.. you know why people are so afraid, because they keep their places so clean the immune system is under-trained... get a dog... the best immune booster.

ok maybe flu on steroids... still doesn't change the fact that lifetime chance of dying in traffic or cardiovascular is higher, and WAY higher for the latter.

dumping stock is not CYA.

The problem with this idea is that shit like car accidents and cardio disease is something that we can CONTROL.

It is the lack of control that has people scared out of their minds. For cardio problems, they can reduce their salt intake, eat healthier foods, stick to good nuts. Buy a safer car, implement penalties for falling asleep at the wheel while texting, jail for driving drunk. Doing things like that will proactively stop more deaths.

It can be done through legislative action.

Dying from a virus is not something that can be prevented by writing new laws of rules or restrictions. It cannot be battled with tort reform, or border closures, or jail time. It is just there, in your face, and you cannot see that which is about to potentially kill you. THAT is what people, in the greatest sense, are afraid of.

 

[southall]

your dead your dead... doesn't matter how you dead. infectious or not.

You really need this spelled out to you.
You don't pass cardiovascular disease onto other people. Doctors and nurses are happy to treat you, the funeral people are happy to take your body, you can eat out and go where ever you like and do not risk giving cardiovascular to anyone else. You work colleagues are happy to sit next to you.

 

[dozu888]

Man where you getting your sources from. Healthy young crowds are getting sick too. It's only a matter of time before this blows up in your face.

CFR age statistics:

(90+ ) 14.1%

(80-89) 42.2%

(70-79) 32.4%

(60-69) 8.4%

(50-59) 2.8%

overall: 5%

basically a non issue for under 50.... just google up.

 

[dozu888]

You really need this spelled out to you.
You don't pass cardiovascular disease onto other people. Doctors and nurses are happy to treat you, the funeral people are happy to take your body, you can eat out and go where ever you like and do not risk giving cardiovascular to anyone else. You work colleagues are happy to sit next to you.

you are such an idiot... with EVERYTHING PRICED IN, WITH THE FACT THAT CORONA IS INFECTIOUS AND TRAFFIC/CARDIOVASCULAR IS NOT, your worst case scenario for corona still produces a much smaller chance of dying.

you are an example of the typical 100 IQ crowd who line up to get toilet paper....

still not convinced? ask your kids 'cause your brain is already too old and has stopped working.

 

[dozu888]

The problem with this idea is that shit like car accidents and cardio disease is something that we can CONTROL.

It is the lack of control that has people scared out of their minds. For cardio problems, they can reduce their salt intake, eat healthier foods, stick to good nuts. Buy a safer car, implement penalties for falling asleep at the wheel while texting, jail for driving drunk. Doing things like that will proactively stop more deaths.

It can be done through legislative action.

Dying from a virus is not something that can be prevented by writing new laws of rules or restrictions. It cannot be battled with tort reform, or border closures, or jail time. It is just there, in your face, and you cannot see that which is about to potentially kill you. THAT is what people, in the greatest sense, are afraid of.

you are not stupid..

I am saying, the crowd IS stupid.... control or not chance of dying is just a number... it's clear 1 number is bigger than another.

you can control all you want. the fact is with the status quo those numbers ARE the chance of dying for traffic and cardiovascular... and people ARE living with today's cars, diet and legislation.

 

[Sekiyo]

Black swan is in the subjective domain.
It's not epistemic.

Some guys knew what would happen.