Quote from myforex:
Lol @ this thread.
Back on topic, BOE meeting tomorrow, most expect repo to stay on hold so I would imagine this is already mostly priced in, it would be devasting for sterling if they cut rates, as this is not really anticipated this time round, earliest expectance is August.
Recent UK economic indicators are not as bad as they were, but watch for tomorrow mornings Halifax home sales info, as this can be very relevant.
I'm currently short GBPUSD from 1.7575, but did get scaled out of part of my lot when there seemed to be a blatant stop hunt (or trap!) at 1.7605, which incidentally ONLY seemed to go that far on Oanda, all other brokers I have access to got as high as 1.7602, but hey I lost 40% of my lot, and realised the loss, only to see it come back and go into profit. Skank!
I think she'll get as low as 1.7450 before finding strong support again, but again, if interest rates are lowered, it may cause a longer drop. But considering that a rate drop is forecast soonish, and probably mostly factored into the price, how much lower than 1.7200 can it go before it looks good value again? Anybody's guess I reckon, but I'll personally only long cable on small bounces until we get this interest rate thing out of the way, either by doing it, or indications of improvement economically (i.e. no need). An interest rate cut *may* help (I'm a retailer, of home furnishings, so currently sales are down!).