Is anyone here profitable?

Quote from failed_trad3r:

im not prfitable in the sense that i am 5 years consistent. :( :mad:

but ive discovered the holy grail and am up 25% since jan of this year... so time will tell.:cool: :D

i should double my money this year. Or else i am truly a failed trader.:eek: :eek:

it has been a long long journey and three aliases on elitetrader ago i thought it was so easy.. alas, young and innocent and naive:) :)

So what's the holy grail then? You mean you have lost your credibility two times on ET?
 
Quote from Mysteron:

Nope, the reason why is that your chances of obtaining a profitable exit are much reduced if your entry is incorrectly placed.

Just common sense really, which many here seem to lack.

First of all, I totally agree that common sense is what matters above everything else. Most lack it, and that's why most aren't profitable.

Agreed (to your first premise), in the sense that a "better" timed entry (quotations marks because some might disagree about anyone being capable of objectively picking a great entry most of the time) will statistically improve your chances of getting a profitable trade, on any individual trade. So, the entry is very important.

But, over the lifetime of most trades, even the ones with a bad entry, there is a time where they are profitable. Concentrating on getting a great entry every time is very hard, but the exit is what ultimately determines the Pnl, and therefore by most accounts, is of greater importance. Also, in a portfolio it's very hard to perfectly time the entry every time.

Also, over one's career as a trader, the significance of any single trader would be minimal, and a systematic exit to lock in the profits or minimizing the losses, I think is the way to go. I could be wrong, but it works for me, and trading is a very personal pursuit, what might suit me might bankrupt somebody else.

It can be argued that a systematic entry will be help, and I agree, a good system needs to have both. But with both, the exit, I think, has more bearings on whether or not I am up or down overall.
 
Quote from QuantWizard:

So what's the holy grail then? You mean you have lost your credibility two times on ET?

I can't tell you.:p
Are you profitable quantwizard? then you dont need to know :P
Let's just say I'm going short 1st of may.:D
 
Quote from QuantWizard:

So what's the holy grail then?

You should go to Coca-Cola and ask them what is their recipe ? Or go to KFC to ask for the secret recipe ?? :confused:
 
I could sum up my own Holy Grail in one sentence, but it would be "entirely subjective" and a typical quant would squeal like a pig......:D
 
Quote from QuantWizard:

Never speculate, always follow your strategy!

Almost all strategies involve speculation. There's some amount of prediction and predictions can go wrong.

The only strategy I have personally seen that wasn't speculation was a tax arbitrage strategy that I ran several years ago. That was pure arbitrage and required no prediction of the future.
 
Quote from failed_trad3r:

I can't tell you.:p
Are you profitable quantwizard? then you dont need to know :P
Let's just say I'm going short 1st of may.:D

Fortunately I am, check my journal thread Quantum Leap. Was just curious whether there are more than one holy grail...
 
Quote from Wide Tailz:

I could sum up my own Holy Grail in one sentence, but it would be "entirely subjective" and a typical quant would squeal like a pig......:D

Better keep quiet then... :-)
 
This guy must be profitable. He's in his forties and flew sorties against the Viet Cong (at age 3) and shut down Monsanto with his bare-hands. He's also a civil rights hero.

Gentlemen.... may I present Alex Wasilewski of PureTick.com

http://www.amazon.com/review/REMADZYMOYN8Q

Alex is underwater on his house in Destin and desperate to sell, so perhaps you can get a discount on the pureshit.
 
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