Quote from michaelscott:
Here is how to trade it.
I attached the master chart. Pay attention to the RSI and MACD. Look at where those indicators where when there was either a notable low or notable high. I included the prison bars and circled the indicators to make it easy.
Currently, the RSI appears to be going over the 70 line. The MACD appears it might peak too. There could be more upside from here, however, in the past when those indicators were at notable highs there was down room to go.
HOWEVER, sometimes these indicators show an overbought condition for months until they trend back down again.
There is something else to pay attention to on this chart. The most important item. The signal to buy is when the 30 day EMA passes over the 15 day EMA. Notice how each time one passes the other it usually takes 2-3 months for them to cross again. Since these just passed on March 26th then the index might keep surging for another 2-3 months.
Therefore the surest buy/sell signal is the 15/30 day emas. Buy when they are just about to cross, short when they are about to cross again.
You sold out too early because you didnt see the big picture. Now that I see the big picture, there might not be a pullback until it hits 54. I didnt look at the moving averages until now. The two EMAs crossed on March 26th which was the buy signal. Should be strong until May 26th.
If you dont think so, then wait until the averages are just about to cross again and short. This stock loves to move up or down very quickly. Its moves usually take 2-3 months to complete.