Is a global depression really priced in already?

[NY_HOOD]

many so called experts are calling for an actual depression. I know we have many safe guards in place but irregardless of that, i dont see how that would be priced into the market already.

 

[Scataphagos]

Hardly. If a depression were price in, the Dow would be <5000.

The markets are running on the premise that Covid will ultimately be no big deal and soon be over.

Doubt it.

 

[padutrader]

In a rigged market everything is already priced in. It would be too easy to make money if the market behaved rationally.

that is brilliant...and so true

 

[S2007S]

I'm actually quite shocked how high markets are today. With what is happening the s&p should be stilling pretty under 1500. And going to sub 1000 levels but remember without free markets you will never ever ever ever ever get real price movement. This is all fuxking make believe since the fed is printing trillions to keep the economy from falling into depression.

As I said many many many times here over the last years was that the next crisis was going to make the dot com collapse and financial crisis look like it never even took place...so far I'm 97% right but wrong in the fact that markets are 50-70% higher than where they should be at this moment......

 

[padutrader]

The markets are running on the premise that Covid will ultimately be no big deal and soon be over.

the reduction of deaths from driving accidents is more than the deaths from the virus itself.that is the reality.
but the markets are concerned not about human welfare but economic activity and, more specifically, growth of earnings.

oh what a mystery that is [sic!]

 

[padutrader]

I'm actually quite shocked how high markets are today

i am not.

predicting the dead cat bounce may be difficult but it takes no genius to see the gore, once it happens

technicals at work since fundamentals are kind of, in the same place

oversold conditions can lead to such ........fast moves

fast moves are more characteristic of ranges and a range makes the most technical sense right now after all the blood on the streets

 

[Scataphagos]

markets are concerned not about human welfare but economic activity and, more specifically, growth of earnings.

HOGWASH! You don't get it. The ramifications are WAAAYYYYYYYY bigger than that.

 

[S2007S]

Told you they will not let the economy go into a depression and not even a tiny small recession


Keep handing out free free free free free free freeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee money!!!



‘It’s not enough’ — Pelosi wants more small business loans, direct payments and unemployment benefits
PUBLISHED FRI, APR 3 20209:44 AM EDT




https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/03/coronavirus-update-nancy-pelosi-talks-phase-four-bill.html

 

[padutrader]

This is all fuxking make believe since the fed is printing trillions to keep the economy from falling into depression.

fed has no choice
if you do not give glucose the patient will be dead.

unforunately the biggest benefit of loose money is always risky assets.

 

[Scataphagos]

Told you they will not let the economy go into a depression and not even a tiny small recession

May not be able to prevent. Possible the alternative is high-hyper inflation which bankrupts all of us.