Is 56 winners out of 64 total positions a good trading record?

Quote from bebe:

If you win 85% of the time - but some of your positions drop 30-40-50% before becoming profitable - that is unacceptale, that is NOT trading - that is dreaming and being lucky at the end.

This is the traditional TA philosophy and is the "wisdom of the street", but do we know that 30-40% drawdowns are unacceptable on the elite stocks? I don't think anyone has backtested this (and it would be tough because of bias), but perhaps 30-40% drawdowns are acceptable with mr m's investing style of only "buying the best"?

Perhaps it's all relative? Isn't a 7-8% drawdown for a 15% gain is the same as a 30-40% drawdown for 70% gain? I dislike holding things more than a few nights and most everyone on this board is the same.

But I don't think anyone has proven that what he's doing is a bad way to invest. His style is still very new...
 
What's better mr market:

1mil position in QQQ gaining 15%

OR

90 10K positions in the NDX components, each of which are 15% winners, and 10 other positions losing 25%?

Get the point? Good.
 
Quote from illiquid:

What's better mr market:

1mil position in QQQ gaining 15%

OR

90 10K positions in the NDX components, each of which are 15% winners, and 10 other positions losing 25%?

Get the point? Good.


You need to compound your winners, then re-do the math.
 
just going on a percentage is to little info. whats the profit factor, whats the ave w/l ratio. multiply the % by the profit factor times the w/l ratio and if you are above 1.0 then fantastic.
 
Quote from progers82:

just going on a percentage is to little info. whats the profit factor, whats the ave w/l ratio. multiply the % by the profit factor times the w/l ratio and if you are above 1.0 then fantastic.

Right...or to put it simpler. Depends on how much you made on the winners and how much you lost on the losers.
 
Quote from sjp:

This is a terrible record. Its time to stop pal, before you take yourself and the rest of us down with you.

[...]
Yours
Angry Trader

You took the words out of my mouth sjp. The guy missed out on 8 trades!
 
Quote from mrmarket:

You need to compound your winners, then re-do the math.

Your trades aren't consecutive, they have many overlaps. So the math is to you.
 
Back
Top