Quote from Opra:
Thanks very much, FT. It's very helpful. Good trading.
Quote from Prevail:
when setting up dn's 1 sigma away there is about a 34 percent chance of the strike being hit. this translates to about 85 days a year. however, the hits tend to be clumped together in a year due to a steeper environment. if one can avoid these times they can do well.

Quote from FT79:
Dear Prevail,
I really don't know what a a sigma is (sorry) but the important part of optiontrading (imho) is how you adjust/change your position. When selling strangles you don't want the underlying comes near the strikes because that will kill you. Everyday is a new day and if needed you should adjust your position. For me (option)trading is like chess, if they board changes I will check if I have to change my position.
PS. I don't play chess because there's no money involved![]()
sigma is another term for standard deviation. 1 sigma is thus 1 sd (68% probability), 2 sigma is 2 sd's (95% probability). It is one of the inputs option pricing models use to arrive at their outputs.Quote from FT79:
Dear Prevail,
I really don't know what a a sigma is (sorry) but the important part of optiontrading (imho) is how you adjust/change your position. When selling strangles you don't want the underlying comes near the strikes because that will kill you. Everyday is a new day and if needed you should adjust your position. For me (option)trading is like chess, if they board changes I will check if I have to change my position.
PS. I don't play chess because there's no money involved![]()
Quote from daddy'sboy:
sigma is another term for standard deviation. 1 sigma is thus 1 sd (68% probability), 2 sigma is 2 sd's (95% probability). It is one of the inputs option pricing models use to arrive at their outputs.
db
Quote from appleseed:
1 standard div. of the spx@1500 is 68%or 1020?
over what period?
sorry for my ignorance
john
Quote from optioncoach:
68% is the probability of the market being within 1 standard deviation by a defined time period.
The standard deviation is a statisitical calculation. Implied volatility is one standard deviation implied through the option prices expressed as a percentage of the price (volatility.).