Iran's Revolutionary Guard Rocket Attack on US Base in Iraq

https://www.businessinsider.com/her...ock-markets-when-the-world-goes-to-war-2017-8

first of all, what do we have, 1 in 20 chance this actually escalates into a real war?

secondly, if it does, the market typically gets a 10-15% hair cut, followed by ~35% rise 12 months later.

it's always BULLISH, the gov prints more money, get the military industrial machine going in full gear, corporate profits going thru the roof.. not to mention this time if we take over Iran we get all their oil! massive windfall for the US of A!

it's not like we are gonna fight Russia or China... Iran has no nuke, we have zero chance to lose...

it's a locked in bullish case.

if you go to cash you get screwed because the more they print the more they dilute.
 
Not a very smart move.... in my opinion.
Good Luck.



The day trump puts thousands of troops in and sends off missiles, oil will fall 10-15% in a single day!!!! This will last maybe a few weeks.


Oh and welcome back, you were gone for how many years?
 
https://www.businessinsider.com/her...ock-markets-when-the-world-goes-to-war-2017-8

first of all, what do we have, 1 in 20 chance this actually escalates into a real war?

secondly, if it does, the market typically gets a 10-15% hair cut, followed by ~35% rise 12 months later.

it's always BULLISH, the gov prints more money, get the military industrial machine going in full gear, corporate profits going thru the roof.. not to mention this time if we take over Iran we get all their oil! massive windfall for the US of A!

if you go to cash you get screwed because the more they print the more they dilute.




That's all I'm hearing is WW3. It's not going to happen. Less than 1 in 20 chance. No worries. Watch the markets erase all loses in the next 2 weeks.
 
Time to pick up some cheap LEAPS on USO before they go to the moon. BNO is looking tasty as well if this keeps up.



Why would you short oil? Brent and USO will spike bigly on schedule like they did the last time we had some action in the middle east.


Now you buy leaps? Way tooo long after the fact.
 
The Administration still hasnt announced what the End Game is with IRAN.

They need to notify Congress and share what the End Game is.

(something that has been missing cause Trump would rather notify Putin about the Baghdadi raid than the Gang of Eight in Congress
or our Allies like Britain and Germany)

Come to think of it, we have NO ALLIES anymore.

Hell, there's no GOP anymore either.

Just Trump.

Everything you wrote here is right on the nose.
 
secondly, if it does, the market typically gets a 10-15% hair cut, followed by ~35% rise 12 months later.

S&P fell 20% in the three or four months before both Iraq wars.

eg first iraq war the S&P fell from 370 to 294, Jun to September 1990

And that 294 is probably the closing low, the intra day low might have been lower.

Ofcourse we know it then rallied both times afterwards.
 
https://www.businessinsider.com/her...ock-markets-when-the-world-goes-to-war-2017-8

first of all, what do we have, 1 in 20 chance this actually escalates into a real war?

secondly, if it does, the market typically gets a 10-15% hair cut, followed by ~35% rise 12 months later.

it's always BULLISH, the gov prints more money, get the military industrial machine going in full gear, corporate profits going thru the roof.. not to mention this time if we take over Iran we get all their oil! massive windfall for the US of A!

it's not like we are gonna fight Russia or China... Iran has no nuke, we have zero chance to lose...

it's a locked in bullish case.

if you go to cash you get screwed because the more they print the more they dilute.

You don't need WWIII to crash the economy, just a land mass 4x as large, a population 2x as large, and an army much bigger than our last adventurist fiasco.
 
S&P fell 20% in the three or four months before both Iraq wars.

eg first iraq war the S&P fell from 370 to 294, Jun to September 1990

And that 294 is probably the closing low, the intra day low might have been lower.

Ofcourse we know it then rallied both times afterwards.



That's then. Today we have the beautiful fed to save the market. They will cut rates to 0% once the markets drop 8% and then go negative rates after the bear comes in at 20% but before then they will release trillions and trillions of dollars to help prop the market up...remember this is not a free market place. The fed will get involved and make sure they continue to prop it up day after day.
 
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