Iran's 2nd COVID wave

[Cuddles]

Been following Iran closely as it was one of the earliest countries hit along w/Italy & wanted to get a sense of timeframes. It was trending downwards for a while, though looks like number are again surging. That, or they've really stepped up testing:

 

[TreeFrogTrader]

Been following Iran closely as it was one of the earliest countries hit along w/Italy & wanted to get a sense of timeframes. It was trending downwards for a while, though looks like number are again surging. That, or they've really stepped up testing:
View attachment 228793

All the numbers coming of Iran are bullshit. Ditto for China.

They massively under-reported cases and then found it politically necessary to show a decline from their under-reported baseline numbers. So their baseline number is lost in space and any talk about "second waves" is either outright bullshit or not knowable. You suggest that it could be an increase in cases or it could just be an increase in testing. Except it could also just be an increase in reporting. Their actual cases could be plummeting but if they started reporting all of their cases it would show as a spike. So the data reported would show a spike but the situation on the ground was actually improving. We don't know.

You are trying to do analysis with bullshit totalitarian government data. We have the WHO to do that. You don't need to add to it.

 

[systematictrader]

All the numbers coming of Iran are bullshit. Ditto for China.

They massively under-reported cases and then found it politically necessary to show a decline from their under-reported baseline numbers. So their baseline number is lost in space and any talk about "second waves" is either outright bullshit or not knowable. You suggest that it could be an increase in cases or it could just be an increase in testing. Except it could also just be an increase in reporting. Their actual cases could be plummeting but if they started reporting all of their cases it would show as a spike. So the data reported would show a spike but the situation on the ground was actually improving. We don't know.

You are trying to do analysis with bullshit totalitarian government data. We have the WHO to do that. You don't need to add to it.

Totalitarian government or not, you posted good points in ur own paragraph, it could be more reporting, more testing, cant that be the case in any type of government? that they simply started testing more?

Whats the relation ship to the government style?

 

[Cuddles]

ah...US following in Iran's footsteps

 

[Cuddles]

Notice the death lag to new case peak & continued death drop off as cases bottomed in the 1st valley.

 

[Scataphagos]

All the numbers coming of Iran are bullshit. Ditto for China.

They massively under-reported cases and then found it politically necessary to show a decline from their under-reported baseline numbers. So their baseline number is lost in space and any talk about "second waves" is either outright bullshit or not knowable. You suggest that it could be an increase in cases or it could just be an increase in testing. Except it could also just be an increase in reporting. Their actual cases could be plummeting but if they started reporting all of their cases it would show as a spike. So the data reported would show a spike but the situation on the ground was actually improving. We don't know.

You are trying to do analysis with bullshit totalitarian government data. We have the WHO to do that. You don't need to add to it.

Bottom Line.... we still don't know the true covid status. Too many variables.... too much "government objective spin". Not a good idea to be drawing conclusions or making policy yet... (not so's that ever stopped them.)

Fauci's talking "100,000 new cases/day" in the near future. Is that from wide-spread of infection or merely more testing????

Still better to err on the side of caution for now.

 

[Cuddles]

Bottom Line.... we still don't know the true covid status. Too many variables.... too much "government objective spin". Not a good idea to be drawing conclusions or making policy yet... (not so's that ever stopped them.)

weekends affect infection rates but this recurring pattern to me looks tampered with. In any case, we're a month off from hitting new peaks if we follow the Iran incidence: