Inverse ETFs for the upcoming crash: UVXY TZA SQQQ SDOW SPXU

KCalhoun said:
Curious, if I were to short 1 es/emini contract here, and it goes down 1/2 of the daily average recent range, roughly what are the numbers?

How much is 1 to short, what $ profit if I cover after its dropped 1/2 the range during next few hours?
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ES is $50 per point. $12.50 per tick.

The amount to open a position of 1 ES varies depending on the broker. Some will charge initial margin $13,200. Some charge night margin which could be substantially less. I’ve seen $1000.

IB’s margin is the worst and just stupid so not worth mentioning.

There is also the micro-sized ES, MES, 1/10th the size of the ES, $5 per point. Can’t get any cheaper than that. Playing BINGO at the local church costs more.
 
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KCalhoun said:
Curious, if I were to short 1 es/emini contract here, and it goes down 1/2 of the daily average recent range, roughly what are the numbers?

How much is 1 to short, what $ profit if I cover after its dropped 1/2 the range during next few hours?
More...

Don't know what half the range equals, so I threw some range indicators on there for you , lol.
Here are charts from last and this Sunday eve sessions.
Giddyup, or eh, giddydown.
T-Line Trade 8986 ES 5m.png T-Line Trade 8985 ES 5m.png
T-line
https://elitetrader.com/et/threads/...t-right-here-baby.335635/page-15#post-5162295

Margin Max $/Tick Date
ES ~25K?
MES 2474 1.25 2022 0315

 
As long the 10 year rate keeps rising MYM (DIA) will do the best and MNQ (QQQ) will do the worst -- and MES (SPY) will be in the middle.

I have been short all 4 futures indexes M2K (IWM) MYM MES & MNQ since April 5 and currently (0543 EST) 58% of the gain is from MNQ and 87% of the gain is from MNQ & MES. The Dow & Russel 2000 have outperformed the MNQ by a lot, but that makes sense since the higher rates favor the financials & industrials and disadvantage the tech stocks. Even Apple is overpriced if the 10 year goes to like 4-5%.

Long story short, just short the MNQ. It has a value right now of about $28K. On Interactive Brokers it has an overnight margin requirement of $2K so you get 14:1 leverage.

During the March 2020 volatility spike I think it went down to 4:1 so at that point I remember I was just using the 3X ETFs.
 
Another amazing reversal of fortune. QQQ down 4% from the high to low intraday. FNGU down 16% intraday. Its interesting that FB seems to be in the same doghouse as NFLX which seems strange but maybe someone knows that earnings report is going to be terrible again.

Its amazing the VIX barely moves at all. I see intraday moves of 2-4% at least a few times per week. Maybe the institutions use some other investment to hedge besides SPX puts. I thought a daily 2% move was suppose to represent a VIX of 35-40.

Too bad there isn't any retail products built around the VXN since this market is really dominated by the collapse of the NASDAQ stocks.
 
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