Very very few.A blink of an eye,and you want to jump a running wagon.LOL!Maybe your a cowboy,though.
Intuition Amplifiers 2
- Thread starter MAESTRO
- Start date
Very very few.A blink of an eye,and you want to jump a running wagon.LOL!Maybe your a cowboy,though.
I see that people had time to catch up with the thread. I think that we can continue this discussion. And if some of you (like HurricaneUS) see no value in this discussion please feel free to ignore it.
In my last piece I talked about the âpriming effectâ. There are few more words to be said about it.
The effects of priming could be reliably detected even when the unconsciously registered perception is present only for a brief time (in some of my experiments as brief as 200 ms). A brief and very negative comment about a security that was too brief to consciously focus on it increases the chances of shorting this security by a trader. As the matter of fact, imperceptibly flashed down arrow related to a security primes people to consider a short position of this security in their very next trading session. Those are very stable observations that could be harvested on the markets if a set of tools to detect those influences could be developed. The detection of âpriming information signsâ is another very powerful part of Intuition Amplifiers.
In my last piece I talked about the âpriming effectâ. There are few more words to be said about it.
The effects of priming could be reliably detected even when the unconsciously registered perception is present only for a brief time (in some of my experiments as brief as 200 ms). A brief and very negative comment about a security that was too brief to consciously focus on it increases the chances of shorting this security by a trader. As the matter of fact, imperceptibly flashed down arrow related to a security primes people to consider a short position of this security in their very next trading session. Those are very stable observations that could be harvested on the markets if a set of tools to detect those influences could be developed. The detection of âpriming information signsâ is another very powerful part of Intuition Amplifiers.
If nothing else, then by "inertia" you might refer to stop running. You know, like "short squeeze". A few funds probably have this edge, especially if the brokers exchange info on stops of their clients. lol
Seriously though, momentum has been well documented and if you aggregate the hedge fund index order flow you'll see there is a lot of "trend following", momentum that creates momentum. The edge is in getting the statistics, figuring out what it means, and diversifying enough to clear out the noise of your assumptions.
If you assume EMA is good enough for figuring out momentum, ok then, good luck. The market takes all sorts.
I'm not sure where MAESTRO or this thread is going but i haven't read anything useful or mildly interesting so far. I mention physiology and he posts a recent article from the BBC about brain mapping. Not sure how that makes any sense. It's like everyone is being vague just for their own entertainment. If you have a novel hypothesis and data to back it up, write a paper and publish it. I read a few good papers every week, certainly not on ET. They're not that hard to come by so if anyone is after "insights" there are better sources.
Seriously though, momentum has been well documented and if you aggregate the hedge fund index order flow you'll see there is a lot of "trend following", momentum that creates momentum. The edge is in getting the statistics, figuring out what it means, and diversifying enough to clear out the noise of your assumptions.
If you assume EMA is good enough for figuring out momentum, ok then, good luck. The market takes all sorts.
I'm not sure where MAESTRO or this thread is going but i haven't read anything useful or mildly interesting so far. I mention physiology and he posts a recent article from the BBC about brain mapping. Not sure how that makes any sense. It's like everyone is being vague just for their own entertainment. If you have a novel hypothesis and data to back it up, write a paper and publish it. I read a few good papers every week, certainly not on ET. They're not that hard to come by so if anyone is after "insights" there are better sources.
Yes, those microscopic nuances may affect trader's behavior quite a lot. I remember Denise Shull posted an article on colors used by traders in their software and recommended avoiding the red color, because it subconsciously increases stress.
Unfortunately, not enough attention is paid to these moments in general.
''...there are better sources.''
for example?
for example?
I would like to respectfully disagree. The meaning of any knowledge is the ability to predict what might happen next. All the sciences have similar quest. Chemistry, for example, studies the laws of mutual influences of substances to be able to anticipate what one could expect if hydrogen is burnt in the presence of oxygen. In Newtonian physics the laws of inertia could precisely predict what will happen to an object if we know its mass and velocity. Any model, any piece of knowledge is only valid if it has an ability to predict the future outcome of the events. Inertia is a very basic and very fundamental characteristic of any physical process. It allows us to estimate the force needed to stop or reverse the registered motion. In psychology, inertia of perception plays the same role; it allows us to estimate the probability of the actions and intents given their present state. It is a very powerful LEADING indicator that I widely use in my Intuition Amplifiers.
Cheers,
MAESTRO