Quote from CFerret:
2. Yes, as soon as hammer 4H bar completed it looked bearish to me.
3. ... despite I had a view of big TF action I didn't act according to it and was simply trade just as if I didn't look at it at all...
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You need to use your professional skills to get into the psyche of the market. The 1 hr up was a countertrend move against the 4 hr. Think about the possibilities - hard and fast reversal or like walking thru tar.
Markets often reverse when they look strong to keep you out. So the daddy 4 hr badly wants down - you should be asking yourself where and how will they do it.
If you missed the double top on the 1 min etc look at this 5 min chart. This is like hunting a sniper who is out to get you... you know what he wants to do but he must fool you... you have to expose him.
This 5 min top was a risk to sit in - not a risk of loosing $, but a risk that you might let a profit get stopped out. I watched the move up knowing it was a fake - a very tradable fake.
Use your psychology background CF, the market wanted up so it could fulfill the 1 hr but it was on borrowed time on the 4 hr. So if you could see this was likely to unfold,,, tell yourself your next actions just as you would if you were hunting your sniper.
Talk to yourself, have a clear plan of action. Try to get into a safe position so you can let the market work. Take of half the 1st few times so you have PIB, feel good but want to take more.
Clockwatch - let each TF get a bite.
But CF, a hammer on the 4 hr... in sniper terms he's behind you and you are in his sights. You are out thought.
Instead back your initial judgement. At the start you might make a few errors - shorting too early. But when you get an ATM run under your belt , a free 50 - 150 points for riding your analysis... it's addictive.
We were all agreed on the up move but the down move was actually easier to call. Become more of a hunter. Make your gameplan clear. Catch your prey as it gives the inevitable reverse signal on some TF (this one went through them all). Then stick with it... stick to what you thought and don't let them shake you out.
If you countertrend, you just must reverse.