The mkt looks forward ? Was it looking forward in June when it was back near highs ? How far can it look forward ? 1 yr ? 18 months ? If that’s the case why would it ever drop ? It can always look forward as far as need be and say “ in 16 months things will be great let’s run the 200% now and 300% after things good . Always look over the valley to the next peak .
It's wrong sometimes. In both directions.