Quote from jsmooth:
But regardless if they are trading the deep OTM options; why arent they establishing a delta neutral position to lock in those small gains? I had the impression that they'll buy/sell (make the market) above or below their theoritical pricing model - so if they have a theoritical price of .80; they'll make the market at .70 x .90; then establish a delta neutral position via trading the underlying (or other options).....lock in that 10 cents at expiration? Does the problem arise from volitility? The takeover will have volitility skyrocket, thus making their prior theo value worthless - so they essentially have no hedge, and more or less over leveraged on the losing side of the trade?
No. The reason why they get their pharcking faces ripped off is because of Gamma.
Delta is dC/ds (partial deriv), and Gamma is d2C/ds2 (again partial deriv), i.e. the rate of change of Delta with respect to the underlying.
Using simple delta hedging, for small market movements - all is cool. As soon as things get a little out of whack they re-hedge. The problem occurs when the movement is rapid and huge - such as a gap from takeover info, then you get wild swings in delta and if that was what your hedging strategy was based on then you're most probably shagged as you're now essentially unhedged.
A Gamma neutral strategy would entail taking effective asset positions whose deltas in the book offset each other.
