Intelligent Design struck down in Federal Court

Quote from ZZZzzzzzzz:
I decided you are not an inquisitor, nor is this a court of law in which I am bound to answer your questions,
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How convenient

Make a claim, get challenged, and decide that instead of acting with honour, use some flowery language and weasel out of your responsibilities.
You are an _______ in my opinion.
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So you are now resorting to personal attacks. Earlier you were accusing us of the same, but no one called you an______ (whatever that means).
Anyone who claims that they have won a "debate" or argument, in my opinion in a setting and forum like this is nothing but a public masturbator
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And we are supposed to respect your views on how to speak to our children?
The absurdity could be displayed by an example, where we have a debate or trial where there is no judge or moderator, and one of the process a person who is representing one side of the story jumps up and claims, "I am the victor, I am the victor. I am the most logical, I am the most reasonable!!!"
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It could also be displayed by having a person make a claim, have his claims challenged, and then have him say "I refuse to answer because I prefer not to" and then when he is challenged for that statement, he says "you are attacking me personally" and then when he is challenged for that statement, he says "you are a masturbator".
Oh, and this is not ad hominem
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oh no, not at all

you are an ______. you are a masturbator. No, not ad hominem at all.

How convenient for you, Z. You claim ad hominem 20 times in this thread in response to calmly and clearly stated challenges to your position, then when you run out of arguments, you call this man a masturbator and then say that it's not an ad hominem attack!!

Everything you say is so convenient for you.

So Z, does this mean that you will not be answering the question that kjkent has posed to you 3 times in the past 20 or so posts, the one which seems to be making you so uncomfortable that you finally snapped and showed us your true colours?

We await your response. A non-response will indicate that you are unable to explicate yourself. A response such as "I reject your authority to ask me such questions" or "You are a masturbator" or "I don't like that question" or "I don't think that question is relevant" or "this is a personal attack" " or "I don't care what you say I have to do" won't be sufficient.

You started this - now let's see if your argument is strong enough to allow you to finish it. There are probably a lot of people waiting to see whether you can step up and respond, instead of saying

"I don't like you"
 
http://www.adequacy.org/stories/2001.9.30.172813.212.html

I must clarify my position before I start. This is will not be yet another creationist argument. My essay will not push any alternative theory as to why the universe is the way it is. I will merely point out problems, and grave ones.

One of the reactions I expect will come up can roughly be stated as follows: "Hey, the theory is not perfect, but it is scientific, and it's the best we have!" To which my answer, let it be known beforehand, is the following:

If Evolutionary Theory truly is the best theory we have to explain the diversity of species, then it can only mean that all our theories suck.

With this out of the way, let's dive into the suckiness.
Is Natural Selection a tautology?
The short answer is: it depends on what you take the relationship between mathematical and logical truth to be. Of course, this only reveals that the question is the wrong one to ask. The correct question is rather the following: is Natural Selection an empirical theory? And the answer is a clear and resounding no.

Of coruse, defenders of evolutionary theory, by presenting a refutation of a couple of weak arguments that Natural Selection is a tautology, leaves its readers thinking that the principle has some actual empirical content. But this is plainly false, as follows from their own argument.

Let's quote their own words:

The current understanding of fitness is dispositional. That is to say, fitness is a disposition of a trait to reproduce better than competitors. It is not deterministic. If two twins are identical genetically, and therefore are equally fit, there is no guarantee that they will both survive to have equal numbers of offspring. Fitness is a statistical property. What 'owns' the fitness isn't the organism, but the genes. They will tend to be more often transmitted so far as what they deliver is better 'engineered' to the needs of the organisms in the environment in which they live.

The mathematical model being invoked implicitly here is a generational model, where each gene is marked with a fitness value, and this value determines its expected number of sucessors in the following generation. Within such a model, it logically follows from the laws of probability that the genes with the higher tendency towards leaving offspring will command a higher share of the total population in each successive generation. There is absolutely nothing whatsoever empirical in this argument-- it is a purely mathematical proof. Natural Selection is mathematically true. Thus, it is impossible to present empirical evidence against it, and this disqualifies it as a scientific theory.

Please note what this argument is not. It is not an argument that specific hypotheses about how a species evolved are unfalsifiable. Such arguments invoke contingent hypotheses or facts in addition to Natural Selection, and thus are subject to refutation. For example, the famous early peppered moth experiments fall clearly within the range of empirical science. But, contrary to what is claimed, they never provided any sort of empirical support to Natural Selection nor did the principle run the risk of being refuted if the experiment failed. Had the experiment failed, the theorists would have had to reject some assumption(s), but rejecting Natural Selection is tantamount ro rejecting the laws of probability and statistics themselves!
Can Natural Selection really change organisms as extensively as claimed?
A very common complaint of the skeptic against Evolutionary Theory, and in particular to the very peculiar claim that all life is derived from a common ancestor, is to question the possibility that Natural Selection can actually produce all the change in populations over time that the theory would require to account for the current diversity in organisms. In layperson terms, can Natural Selection really take some claimed ancient lizards, and through a series of mutations that inflict gradual changes on its offspring, through an extended period of time, turn the lizards into dinosaurs, birds, and human beings, and all through the process, keep the intermediate forms well adapted to their environments?

This has to do with the difference between microevolution and macroevolution. One can accept the first without having to accept the second. Indeed, the first one is supported by facts quite extensively and convincingly; even creation scientists accept it. But can we question macroevolution?

A typical evolutionist answer is to laugh away the question by claiming that the person asking it "does not grasp the enormity of the time scale involved", or by subtler arguments:

Antievolutionists argue that there has been no proof of macroevolutionary processes. However, synthesists claim that the same processes that cause within-species changes of the frequencies of alleles can be extrapolated to between species changes, so this argument fails unless some mechanism for preventing microevolution causing macroevolution is discovered. Since every step of the process has been demonstrated in genetics and the rest of biology, the argument against macroevolution fails.

I'm sorry, but this is clearly among the worst arguments ever made in support of anything. Instead of answering the challenge with an actual model of how gradual microevolutinary change can result in macroevolutionary change, not only do the evolutionists decline responsibility for doing so, but to top it off place the responsibility of showing that their unsupported process can't happen on the people who point out that it's unsupported!

This is simply ridiculous. If you want people to believe you that X happens, you actually have to offer evidence that it does happen. You can't claim that unless the skeptics can prove that it doesn't happen, then it happens. It is intellectually dishonest, and logically inconsistent.

Sure, the talk.origins crowd has put forward more detailed arguments about why you should believe in macroevolution. But don't bother reading that document just yet. Not until you read my next section, which outlines the fallacy underlying all evolutionary reasoning, and will enable you to refute it point-by-point yourself.
Do greater than chance similarities prove common origin?
One of the classic arguments in favor of the evolutionist claim that all species have a common origin is that species show all sorts of similarities which can't be due to chance. Indeed, the enormous mass of odd similarities that he found in his studies of nature around the world is what convinced Darwin of the common origin of all species, and he didn't know half of the similarities that we know today. Thus, the standard evolutionist argument is: If all those species are much more similar than mere chance would allow, then they must be related.

However, a greater than chance similarity between organisms only proves precisely that: greater than chance similarity between organisms. There exist other possible non-evolutionist explanations for the same facts, the most popular of which is that species were designed by some kind of ultra-powerful being. However, we don't need to go to such extremes to put the argument under stress.
An aside: Historical Linguistics

Let's start out by discussing a different but methodologically related field: Historical Linguistics. This is the original branch of modern linguistics; it started with the discovery in the late 18th century of systematic (way greater than chance) sound-meaning correspondences between the vocabularies of Latin, Greek and Sanskrit. This led to the theory that the three languages are descended from a common ancestor language, Proto-Indoeuropean. As the topic was explored during the 19th century, more and more languages were shown to belong to the family, additional families were discovered, and a powerful method arose for proving such relations: the Comparative Method.

If you strip away the linguistic details, the comparative method looks suspiciously alike to the methods of evolutionary biology. This is no surprise, since Darwin actually was inspired and influenced by the methods of Historical Linguistics, and mentions their methods and findings as an important analogy to his theory.

But there is a question that remains unasked here: how do linguists actually know that the systematic correspondences observed in the relevant languages are actually due to common descent, and not due to some other reason? For example, could it just not be the case that the correspondences are due to some undiscovered natural relationship between certain sounds and meanings?

The answer to this is three-fold:

1. We actually have records of one language diverging over time and geography, with several distinct languages as a result. We have ample documentation of this happening in Latin, to give only one example.
2. Linguists ahdere to a theoretical principle called the abritrariness of the linguistic sign, due to Ferdinand de Saussure, which states that the relationship between sound and meaning is arbitrary.
3. More crucially, we have thousands of languages for which one can't show common descent. We even know about at least one language that is not related to any other, Nicaraguan Sign Language

This last point is very important. Having languages that are very different from the languages of one family shows indeed that the similarities in the related languages can't be due to chance. If we had no languages that differed wildly from the Indoeuropean ones, we would have no empirical basis for the arbitrariness principle. The fact that such languages actually outnumber the Indoeuropean languages boosts the likeliness of the common descent explanation.
What does this mean for Evolutionary Theory?
 
Continued:

So here comes the point: evolutionary biology has nothing corresponding to the three factors just mentioned:

1. The fossil record is famously incomplete.
2. Biologists have not explicitly formulated a theoretical principle that states that the relationship between phenotypes and genotypes is arbitrary enough for historical explanation to be the preferred option. For all we know, this relationship could be tighter than appreciated due to some undiscovered natural law (the hypothetical biological analogue to the rejected linguistic hypothesis of "Iconiciy", which states that sound and meaning stand in a natural rather than arbitrary relation), and the genotypic similarity of organisms with similar phenotypes is explained by this law, not common descent.
3. Biologists, by insisiting that all species are related, can't bolster their arguments about relatedness by pointing to unrelated species, like linguists can do with languages.

The argument is essentially a challenge based on probability theory: evolutionists claim that the probability of what we observe is much greater than chance in order to support their theory. But there is something which is left implicit, unaddressed, yet is crucial to such an argument: to be able to assess the probability of a particular outcome in some event, you need to know what is the set of possible outcomes. Yet evolutionists make their arguments without examining the structure of possibilities within which their argument should be framed. But, just as you need to know how many sides a die has in order to know how likely one particular number is to be rolled, you need to know the structure of possible heredity/phenotype pairings in order to claim that a certain pattern is unlikely to arise by chance.

Let's do a thought experiment to clarify this further. First, we shall conceptualize the range of heredity (genotype), environment and phenotype as multi- or infinite-dimensional spaces, in which each dimension represents some variable among which genotypes, developmental environments or organism traits can in principle differ. This gives us a measure of "distance" for each of these domains.

Now, we consider the range of possible mappings from genotype-environment pairs to phenotypes. Now, there are two relevant poles towards which such mappings can tend:

1. A mapping could be such that for each phenotype we may find wildly differing genotype-environment pairs which map to the same phenotype.
2. On the other hand, a mapping could be such that only a very restricted set of proximate genotype-environment pairs could code for a given phenotype.

Each of these mappings gives an undelying structure of possibilities within which the question of whether correspondences between organisms are due to common heredity can be posed. But the answer in each case is different:

1. If the structure of possibilities is indeed like #1 (as it is demonstrably the case for natural languages), then the most likely explanation is common origin. For if you were to take two very similar organisms at random, then the mapping gives you relatively little information about what genotype and enviroment could have produced it-- very different combinations of these could have produced each of the two organisms.
2. On the other hand, if the structure is more like #2, then the historical argument is weakened, and the most likely cause is just eternal laws of nature. Phenotypes are highly informative about genotype and environment, and indeed, to the degree where you can actually explain genetic similarity on terms of phenotypic similarity.

Which underlying structure of possibilities does our world resemble the most, #1 or #2? We don't know. This is a question the evolutionists simply don't talk about; they just assume #1. But then, the crucial problem is that to assume #1 almost amounts to assuming that common descent is the right explanation for similarities between species, which is the "conclusion" they claim to be supporting! It is not a tautology, however, since the whole argument is probabilistic; first of all, #1 and #2 are not discrete possibilities, but rather extremes in a scale; second, both explanations are available in each kind of world, it's just their relative plausibility that shifts. Still, the assumption biases the whole research project in favor of their preferred answer.
Another linguistic diversion
Recently, but still after I developed the argument I just presented, I became aware of the dissertation work of the linguist Brett Kessler on Estimating the Probability of Historical Connections Between Languages (published by CSLI Publications under the title The Significance of Word Lists), which, as it turns out, deploys an argument similar in spirit to mine, but in the field of Historical Linguistics. Kessler argues that historical linguists have no mathematical methods for estimating the chances of similarities between word lists for languages, which leads to controversies: what one linguist will take to be uncontrovertible evidence of a relationship, another will dismiss as resulting out of mere chance. Kessler investigates methods of actually making such calculations. This, of course, requires making mathematically explicit what the evolutionists don't: you have to make explicit assumptions about what the range of forms and meanings is, how likely one form or meaning is to mutate into a different one, and so on. In other words, you have to make the structure of possibilities explicit; only then can you make any sort of calculation about how likely a relationship is.

Biologists would do well to pick up an introduction to Historical Linguistics or two. After all, that's where the evolutionist's methods came from.
Conclusion
Clearly we are before yet another instance of the post-Enlightentment scientistic ideology, intent on the rape of nature for profit, and used to support some of the worlds most disgusting politics.

Behind all these unfounded theories of blind watchmakers is simply a refusal to acknowledge that the range of our knowledge is limited. There are plenty of things we will simply never know about our world. How life arose (if it ever did, of course; it could have been around forever for all we know) and why it is so diverse and similar is simply one of them.

But the scientists, in their drive to "understand", control, and bend nature to their will, will have none of that. And since science is performed by those in power, it will be used to maintain the status quo, building flimsy story upon flimsy story upon flimsy story to keep the people down.
 
A last thought here.

I was watching a documetary on deep-sea exploration which included members of NASA's JPL, who were there to observe how we study strange environments, in order to better design procedures for our eventual trips to Mars and beyond. I was struck by the vision and far-sightedness of these people, who know that they will never live to see the fruits of their labours.

Then I thought of this discussion. Can you imagine if human progress were left up to Z and those of his ilk? Instead of a constant questing for answers, we would have a rigid set of dogmatic rules taken as divine dictate. What is the purpose of studying life on Mars when you already know its origin? What is the purpose of trying to derive new naturalistic cures from flora and fauna when you know that death is simply a trip up to see St. Peter or a visit with 246 virgins if you're a Muslim martyr or whatever? I am saying this badly, but I could go on and on.

Has science resulted in good every time? No. Do big corporations strip the rain forests in search of those new cures so that they can make money? Yep. Did the documentary filmamakers make their film in order to make money? Probably? But give me the quest, give me the joy of discovery, give me the chance of doing something for humanity any day, over the mumbling of a cleric in an incense-filled backroom, over the closing off of the mind and the turning inward which is the end of the road taken by the faith-mongers.
 
Quote from hapaboy:

^Nicely said.^
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thank you (gets down from soapbox) :)

No doubt that sounded like blah blah to some, but it struck me so hard as I watched these scientists at work.

They didn't ever say "I believe this because I choose to believe it" or "This is a reasonable conclusion, therefore all inquiry will stop here, that's all we need to know:

They never said, as Z did,

"You can't prove that it's not true, and that is enough for us to believe that it is".

Some people have suggested that those of Z's ilk are the majority in America today. I refuse to believe it. Many of those with faith would still see the absurdity of the kind of circular arguments and credulity exhibited by Z and his followers.

It's been great seeing people willing to step up and confront Z with his circular arguments, his evasions, his absurdly partisan citations and his eventual descent into ad hominem and whinging. I am still trying to determine if we can have him censured for any of the TOU violations he committed in this thread. kjkent in particular should be thanked by those who value free thinking and dialectical process.

I am well and truly out, but I'll follow along just in case Z tries any more funny stuff. It seems that when the heat gets too high, he just cowers in a corner for a few days and then slithers back out with another inappropriate citation.

The absolute worst part about this is that I have noticed Z apparently trying to argue from the left. This is, surely, the last the left would ever need. That old saw about "I wouldn't wish it on my worst enemy" comes to mind.
 
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