spending a lot of detail hoping that jem will finally understand is probably a waste of time. with jem its not about undertstanding. its about finding any crack in our current knowledge that he can slip his god in.Quote from jcl:
At first, Penrose is not talking at all about the same fine tuning that you mean. He's talking about his new model of Big Bang cycles, and with "fine tuning" he refers to the entropy curve. If the entropy increased since the Big Bang, it must have been at a minimum back then, and this minimum would correspond to a highly ordered state that he considers extremely unlikely.
Going into details of his model would be far off topic here, but it has nothing to do with godly miracles. He assumes that singularities change the global entropy, and thus solve his entropy problem. Most scientist's don't agree with this solution for various reasons, and also don't agree that an entropy problem exists at all. His model is therefore one of the many outsider theories and not convincing to mainstream cosmology.
The fine tuning that you mean, which allowed that complex structures such as life can evolve in the universe, has not a probability of 1/10 ^ 10 ^ 123. It has a far higher probability of about 1/10 ^ 15. Admittedly this probability is hard to estimate from physical constants, but it does not matter anyway, as when multiple universes exist, their number is infinite. Therefore, the probability of life evolution is one hundred percent, and there are even infinite many universes in which forms of life must exist.
"If a man is offered a fact which goes against his instincts, he will scrutinize it closely, and unless the evidence is overwhelming, he will refuse to believe it. If, on the other hand, he is offered something which affords a reason for acting in accordance to his instincts, he will accept it even on the slightest evidence." -Bertrand Russell