Quote from Hansel H:
I'm saying that the Santa explanation can be supplanted by a more rational explanation for the appearance of presents. We know that at least some of the presents were placed under the tree by Mom and Dad but have no indication that any of the presents were placed there by Santa. This is definitely a -1 for Santa.
I'm saying that Santa can be explained away by way of a rational alternative but Designer can't.
And I'm saying you are disregarding things which are known about the Universe which lead to well suported reasoning toward its origins.
There is no indication that any of it was put there by an Intelligent Designer / God /Santa. Just as with Santa, the ID explanation can be supplanted by more rational explanations of science and the nature of the Universe as we observe it.
Quote from Hansel H:
All present explanations for the existence of the Universe require some gigantic arbitrary assumption such as "The Universe has always been." or "The Universe appeared from nothing.", etc. Designer, of course, also belongs in this category but is no less rational than the others because they all defy common sense.
Leave out relevant science, supporting scientific explanations and facts, evidence, theories, postulations, hypothesis, and you should find most things defy common sense.
Quote from Hansel H:
Mom and Dad as explanation for at least some of the presents is an observed fact, not an assumption of any kind. Since Mom and Dad are known to be present-givers it's perfectly rational to attribute all present-giving to human cause and to set aside Santa as an explanation for any present-giving pending actual observation of Santa in action.
Yes, and it seems to me at one particular point (origin), you dismiss many explanations for and of the Universe than ever before were understood, some of which are observed as facts, and are not base assumptions of the kind you say.
Science confirms and continues to explain how many Universe "presents" got there, by what means they were formed, or came about. There is no rational explanation for any -universe creating "present-giving" ID / God / Santa- absent an actual observation or the need of one.
Quote from Hansel H:
There is a vast body of knowledge about the Universe available, but nothing that explains its ultimate origins in anything other than purely speculative terms. There is no proof of these speculations and no proof of Santa.
Speculations about origins of the Universe are of a considerably higher observational and evidence based standard than speculations about ID/God/Santa. Indeed, you suggest that to be so.
ID and Santa first belong in the province of fairy tale and make believe simply because it is known they have no substantial supporting information or evidence. Santa has additional information to confirm origins but, in the realm of fantasy, can still not be explained away.
You cannot dismiss Santa without dismissing ID/God too. As I said, Santa wants grown ups to think they are giving the presents. Only children who have the capacity to believe, can see, know and truly understand Santa. That is the way of Santa's "Design".
Scientific explanations for origins of the Universe are not based on fairy tale, but contain a vast array of hard facts which stand on well grounded knowledge. That provides various well explained possibilities for origin. Non of which contain , need or observe ID/God/Santa. They would if they did.
But no matter, ID/God/Santa/FSM/Unicorns/Gilbert could still have created the Universe, once you choose make-believe as the only source of evidence.
Quote from Hansel H:
I think I'm consistent in saying that Santa can be set aside ( pending evidence ) because there is an observed rational alternative to Santa, but Designer can't be set aside on the same basis. There is at least one alternative of high probability to Santa but no alternative to Designer that can can be said to be probable or even possible. This is not to say that Designer is either probable or possible. All explanations for the ultimate origins of the Universe are in a different logical class from non-Santa explanations for Xmas presents. This is where the Santa/Designer parallel breaks down.
Your consistency appears to be twofold. It ignores observed rational alternative scientific evidence pointing to the contrary of "Designer".
Secondly, you seem to be consistent in changing the priority for reasoning.
As you say, ultimate origins of the Universe are in a different logical class from ID/Santa.
So how come you think it ok to then place scientific information and explanation into a different "logical" class with
non-ID/Santa.
Non-ID/Santa is no more logical than any other non-
anything you care to imagine. One can decide to require fantasy only to explain Santa or non-Santa, God or non-God, ID or non-ID.
You first must put those imaginations into a logical class by bringing some supportable scientific information and knowledge to them, for or against them. Then science may further show whether they are possible or unfeasible. It works to exclude Santa (down to the fantasy level). It works to include certain strong possibilites for origin of the Universe (down to the fantasy level), which do not include ID/God. It is not about non-origin or non-santa or non-God.
Quote from Hansel H:
Science describes the Universe but doesn't explain it - at least, not in terms of its ultimate origins.
If you say so. But there are nevertheless a few pretty hefty scientific explanations competing for the consensus view on the origin of the Universe. Thing is, the essence of true science doesn't allow make-believe to stand in for facts, proof, evidence or reliable information. Conclusion doesn't include possibilities that have no observational supporting facts or substantial evidence. Things like ID/Santa for instance.
Quote from Hansel H:
I do not observe Designer and have nothing but groundless speculation for it just as cosmologist have nothing but groundless speculation to support their fantasies about the ultimate origin of the Universe.
Again, if you say so. But just because you don't include the things that are known in cosmology which lead to some of those scientific 'speculations' mentioned earlier, does not mean what you say is correct.
Quote from Hansel H:
I don't suggest science in general is based on groundless speculation - absolutely the contrary - but speculations by scientists about the ultimate origin of the Universe are not themselves scientific because they are not falsifiable. At present there are no scientific explanations for the ultimate origin of the Universe; there are merely fanciful speculations some of which are put forward by scientists.
There is no falsifiable scientific conclusion. We agree. To then leap to the position... "therefore there are merely fanciful speculations"... is simply incorrect.
Scientific postulations and theories for origin are extremely well grounded but incomplete. That does not make them fanciful. What is fanciful is ID, God or Santa, non of which have any such groundings whatsoever.
Fanciful-
never provides any falsifiable conclusion. Science has the proven ability to produce vast amounts of falsifiable conclusions.
To reduce all science to the grade -fanciful- because there is no falsifiable conclusion on a particular massive subject science is still examining, is at least I suggest, being disingenuous to an extreme.
Quote from Hansel H:
Not everything scientists have to say is scientific
Then when that is the case, what they had to say would not be science, nor would it be scientific.
Quote from Hansel H:
And yes, I'm aware of some of the seemingly something-from-nothing phenomena of Quantum physics but given that these events occur in the context of an extant Universe-environment it can hardly be said that anything there is truly appearing from nothing.
But then a "Designer" / God could or would come from nothing?! Ahh..but there is always the wonder of make-believe. It provides any and all the exceptions imagination can conjure up.