Quote from Batterup:
tsganngalt
Advice to follow relationships is misguided advice. The other misguided advice is to put such advice ahead of proper TA. Both tidbits are misleading in how mkts work.
TA is a synopsis of all the opinions registered within the mkt itself. Actions indeed speak louder than words. (we will not even include ramblings from CNBC as spoken words, most are either ads or ramblings to appease advertisers).
Relationships between different mkts and any corroborating movements among/against such instruments are possibly more so related from fundamentals rather than from TA. Sure TA can be skewed from bogus fundamentals also, BUT, the mkts are what they are and all opinions are reflected within the TA analysis. Most persons that follow fundamentals indeed might first check TA to confirm/deny their own educated/non educated readings of the fundamentals.
To say TA is NOT the most valuable tool is again misguided. The only real fundamental opinion available to the avg investor is PRICE. TA takes that piece of most valuable opinion and shows Joe Sixpack where the support/resist, tops/bottoms, consolidations, continuations, reversals etc, etc occur.
What else can an trader/investor ask for? What else can said person expect in a game of probabilities?
Common sense is the answer, not some mish mosh about relationships. If a person really wants to know about relationships, they should get a girlfriend/boyfriend.
tsganngalt surely means well, but he somehow got confused. i hope this helps. Thanks and have good trading for all, especially me. Bye, Bye as John McLaughlin would say.
:eek:
I find that developing a sense of what the market is doing as a whole more important than inidividual analysis of a single stock. I am not saying TA is worthless, it's just less significant.
TA doesn't reflect all of what is happening in the market. Prices reflect what happens in the market, it's just that TA takes the prices and isolates the information for the trader's use. What it isolates then becomes debatable to what is significant to isolate.
One good example would be bar charts, you compress the price to a preferred timeframe based on your needs. Everything within that bar is taken as a noise and put away. But within that bar, there were different thoughts of trades, taking some indicator on a bar chart and saying "it reflects" all opinion doesn't make sense. Even if you use tick compression, what happens to the unfilled orders. Even if you use Bid/Ask what happens to all the other orders that are not represented that is not on the charts.
It's impossible to have "all opinions" represented. What can be done is to objectively isolate the information for your specific trading style.
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Fundamentals??? I would rather resay it as Intermarket Behavior, maybe correlation would be better. I don't think I have to mention that individual stocks generally move together with the general market. But the moves themselves aren't completely in sync. The correlation represents themselves differently everyday, just like most chart patterns are different but similar. There are leaders and laggers, too
So then, there's the aspect of Bid/Ask volume in the Depth Analysis. I haven't used traded as a desk trader for a while so I think you should ask around for this with someone else. My time was with Lvl 2. quotes was different. I don't recognize most of the movers(hammers) listed on the quotes now.
Well, before I get flamed for not trading discretion currently, I'm a system trader. What I mentioned above still stands, even from a developer's standpoint researching and crunching numbers.
Just my 2 cents.