Indiana in Play

seneca_roman · Oct 31, 2008

Quote from stock_trad3r:

If it's a tossup you can count on Bradley to tip it in McCain's favor.

I don't think Bradley is working at INTRADE or the Iowa Futures where Obama has huge leads.

Any data on the Bradley thing?

Seneca

stock_trad3r · Oct 31, 2008

Quote from seneca_roman:

I don't think Bradley is working at INTRADE or the Iowa Futures where Obama has huge leads.

Any data on the Bradley thing?

Seneca

Do you work for Intrade by chance?

seneca_roman · Oct 31, 2008

Quote from stock_trad3r:

Do you work for Intrade by chance?

No. I found about it reading the book, "Wisdom of Crowds" by James Surowiecki abd
later I found out in following up on him that INTRADE was the most accurate predictive tool in the 2004 Presidential Election, calling all states correctly and that it called all senate races in 2006 correctly.

Here is a link that might interest you:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/05/government_stifles_the_wisdom.html

S