11-18-06 12:44 PM
INDIA is due for major pullback....It may of started on Thursday of this week.....This is a chart of HDB, IBN, INFY, PTI, REDF, SAY, SIFY, WIT....The chart starts at the 6/13 lows that almost every ADR put in....ALL of which are India ADR's.....I sold almost 95% of my positions in these 8 stocks just this week....All ADR's look to be rolling over and profit taking looks to be taking place....My best advice is wait and watch for the upward trend to continue and not buy this dip.....
They have been some of my better performers over the last 4 months so I'm not saying you won't make money with your position, but your downside outways your upside at this point in the trade....
The chart does not include...MTE, SIFY, TTM, VSL (other India ADR's)
$COSTAverageMAN
05-12-06 04:57 PM
I was asked to post my outlook for this market.....CASH....I got my dollars hedged and I even closed out my GLD and SLV positions yesterday........
Well I'm still diversified, but the sectors that I'm in are very limited...I bought protective puts during last friday's move on the QQQQ and IWM as a hedge against a Sell in May and go away correction.....This was done mostly because earnings seasons is almost over with and the catalyst for moving the market forward is pretty limited given the dollar decline and the whole world looking overbought except CHINA......
The only Country I am bullish on is CHINA....CHINA....CHINA
Just woke up and saw the BSE down sharply and the SSEC up over 4% and I had to recall one of my favorite post on ET///(the more correct the more favorite it becomes..)
Will this move on the BSE change sentiment about risk tolerance in the US and European markets in any way?....I think absolutely....Any reason to take profits will begin to flood the market going into 2007....My advice increase you cash holdings or buy protection while it's still cheap....We may be in for a wild ride over the next 50 days....Worst case scenario you give up 4% to have insurance.....I would be thinking about it if you are 100% long and have a high portfolio risk/volatility (beta around 1.8 or above) and are not very well diversified....I expect high beta to get sold off today regardless of how the broad indexes do....
$COSTAverageMAN