Index futures automation

Can a fully automated trading strategy work in the long run?

  • YES!

    Votes: 56 67.5%
  • Hell naw.

    Votes: 14 16.9%
  • I don't know, I got my own trading to worry about.

    Votes: 13 15.7%

  • Total voters
    83

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If I sell 1 ATM MNQ put expiring tomorrow: I think the credit will be 85.5x0.5 (tick) = or $42.75?

well this blows....

basically simple long call/put

that's not even a level 1 option access.


You don't know how to calculate your credit and you actually tried to initiate an options trade?

That makes me cringe! :)
 
You don't know how to calculate your credit and you actually tried to initiate an options trade?

That makes me cringe! :)

Normally these platforms show it beforehand when you're filling out the order ticket, but I couldn't see anything since AMP restricts selling. I thought they base it on tick multiplier..

Oh well, it's irrelevant anyway since I'm not going to bother with options with AMP if I can only go long.
 
Took all the live trades I've made (on QT and MT5) since 2/20/23 and removed positive outliers (algo malfunction).

Did some basic stats:

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Not sure if this is the right risk of ruin.

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The last chart 'Cumulative Profit' suggests a pretty significant drawdown, I take it that was just intraday drawdown ?
How large was it ?
 
I'm not sure if I'm exploiting some inefficiency, a pattern of some sorts, or just plain lucky.

But 8 months in, live has so far reflect backtest results to a "T".
Last black swan was in early 2021, but luckily it was somewhat small range market. I can't fathom a black swan on a large volatility. That would be pretty scary.

Seeing signs of it the last few months of what that might look like
 
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