...thanks for answering my question so thoroughly. Reading your response I was struck by how radically our viewpoints differ on trading. I am a lousy trader. I will ALWAYS be a lousy trader. I don't even WANT to be a good trader. Here's why: I will never be able to trade as intuitively, decisively, and quickly as the way I imagine that you trade. Therefore what I want is a stable of good SYSTEMS which I develop in my fumbling, hacking, random style. I want the ensemble of SYSTEMS to be a good trader.
What I am puzzled about is that as best I can decipher the relevant posts, Grob109's approach isn't that complicated. If I remember correctly, he speaks of three prescreening criteria, a volume entry rule, and a three level decision tree with eight possible outcomes for how to manage the position thereafter. No doubt there are more rules for the details of entries and exits. As a wild-assed guess, I would think that the system has maybe 20-25 rules. This alone makes it impossible to verify its optimality, but aside from that, it fits on a page. From my perspective, if he has rules, it's by definition a a mechanical system. To me there is not much room for a middle ground between mechanical and discretionary trading. What am I misunderstanding (please remember, you are corresponding with a literal minded idiot)?
And BTW, I got to the VERY modest level of success I have now only after I forgot everything the books and gurus teach and started teaching myself by simply watching market action and hypothesizing rules (like most autodidacts, I have a fool for a pupil). Best regards. - Mike
What I am puzzled about is that as best I can decipher the relevant posts, Grob109's approach isn't that complicated. If I remember correctly, he speaks of three prescreening criteria, a volume entry rule, and a three level decision tree with eight possible outcomes for how to manage the position thereafter. No doubt there are more rules for the details of entries and exits. As a wild-assed guess, I would think that the system has maybe 20-25 rules. This alone makes it impossible to verify its optimality, but aside from that, it fits on a page. From my perspective, if he has rules, it's by definition a a mechanical system. To me there is not much room for a middle ground between mechanical and discretionary trading. What am I misunderstanding (please remember, you are corresponding with a literal minded idiot)?
And BTW, I got to the VERY modest level of success I have now only after I forgot everything the books and gurus teach and started teaching myself by simply watching market action and hypothesizing rules (like most autodidacts, I have a fool for a pupil). Best regards. - Mike
