volpri,Good deal. Good play.
With that big bar BO you entered on you would expect better follow through to reach your profit target (dark blue). When that big bar was followed by 2 small bull bars then a bear bar you know things are in a PB that would most likely morph into a sideways move at the least and perhaps even a reversal. Just not good FT on that big bull BO bar to hang in their hoping for it to reach your PT (dark Blue).
So, with the new info that says the BO is probably going to fail or it would have had better follow through. So, knowing THAT you leave your original SL in place wait till after the PB (and you really don't have to worry about the first PB being too deep as everything to the left says buying has been strong.) So in view of that buying strength to the left most likely you will get a test of that high before any reversal. So with some adjustment in your SL and PT you should be able to get out with a smaller profit (light blue) instead of a loss waiting for your original PT to be hit and it wasn't. An if all that turned out wrong and you had to take a loss and it would be a lot less.
It is certainly a valid assumption that price will test the high again so you will be able to get out with a profit albeit, less than your original plan.
See, with initial SL and PT those are our BEST guesses. But when the dynamic of PA begins to unfold we must adapt them if necessary.
Good trading!
The next trade would be after that BO south out of the top mini range. Notice the first PB after that BO south barely made it to touch the bottom of the mini range after your exit. So, the play would be to short after the PB on a lower low after the first bear bar in the PB. Then of course it sailed south....
Volpri,
I like your comments.
I agree with you are saying regarding moving the SL and PT as needed. I really agree with that.
I like to explain my thinking with chart examples.
Breakout scenario.
Green arrow entry
Blue arrow PT
Red arrow SL.
I enter, what shall a trader do now:
A. Breakeven
B. Wait a few bars, and take small loss
C. Hold on and wait for profit target. Let the trade play out.
Well here is what I did after entry and the big red bar.
1. Move my stop to the black arrow.
2. Move my PT to the light blue arrow.
Go stop out for a loss of money.
In conclusion, moving the PT made logical sense. Moving the stop loss, not so well. I should kept SL where it was til after that big green bar reversal. It is what it is.
So yes, I agree with you. You can have good plan or initial trade structure, but as we clearly know, the market may have another plan, and that is where Uncertainty rules, and causes for changes in our trade parameters. I will accept being wrong in moving my SL to to early, but moving that PT downwards was a good idea as the market told me "I don't care about your stinky profit target you got from somewhere, i am stopping price here, there, take that"
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Do you trade 1 or 2 contracts? I trade 1 til my account balance is big. I have noticed that trading 2 contracts is much better because I can take one contract off at first target and let other contract ride.
Often I will start at 1 contract in the emini Es, NQ, and YM and depending how how PA unfolds I will add maybe up to 10 and occasionally more.Do you trade 1 or 2 contracts? I trade 1 til my account balance is big. I have noticed that trading 2 contracts is much better because I can take one contract off at first target and let other contract ride.
Yes, big days like this are good. Yes, we are just sharing trading opinions here as fellow traders.As far as staying with the ride down when you got a tight STEEP channel down like that just assume it will have tiny pb’s and stay with it or even add more on pb’s. On a higher TF chart that baby is consecutive big bear bars, BO south with consecutive gaps between low of a bar and the low and or close of the previous bar and/or previous 2 or 3 bars. All that screams urgency. When that happens resistance/support levels will fall like dominos as prices slices through hot butter
NOT-TRADING ADVICE JUST MY OPINION!
But to do that one has to have confidence in ones ability to read price action.
As far as staying with the ride down when you got a tight STEEP channel down like that just assume it will have tiny pb’s and stay with it or even add more on pb’s. On a higher TF chart that baby is consecutive big bear bars, BO south with consecutive gaps between low of a bar and the low and or close of the previous bar and/or previous 2 or 3 bars. All that screams urgency. When that happens resistance/support levels will fall like dominos as prices slices through hot butter