Quote from ammo:
does this thread remind anyone of southpark, the whole town is agreeably up in arms at sw and he hasnt been proven wrong yet, its a lynching, lets hang em
what i keep being told, over and over, is that 'calling a top' is a fool's game and that you buy at a pullback to the trend,
yes, that IS true - in a BULL MARKET
this, however, is a bear,IMO
shorting resistence in a bear is the same as buying support in a bull
i think most people are confused about the timeframe = they're refering to the timeframe within a power spike, i'm refrering to the overall trend WHICH IS STILL DOWN, until proven otherwise
on the day I called it, I called the hypothesis in this thread confirmed
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=176672&perpage=6&pagenumber=1
in the 24 days that have passed since 9/17/09, what is the highest close above that day? 4 points, the day I said was the top. (the previous 9 trading days, it had run nearly 80) A day that STILL isnt taken about. A close of 1071.66 followed by a day with an interday high of 1080. Depending on one's technical discipline, either could be called 'the top' but neither have been taken out. That is what they are prematurley gloating about
It has not closed a monthly bar over the 20 month moving average, either last month nor this month's lower 20 month ma at around 1052
holding a mere 4 points for 24 days in a historical powerspike is hardly and invalidation of the hypothisis of either thread
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