``It looks like we've dodged another bullet,'' said Peter Beutel, president of energy consultant Cameron Hanover Inc. in New Canaan, Connecticut. ``The refineries in the Huston area seem to have come out of the storm remarkably intact.''
These refineries are all in the Entergy Texas service area that is going to be affected by not having 1900 MW of generating capacity.
Beaumont Refinery (ExxonMobil), Beaumont 348,500 bbl/d (55,410 m�/d)
Port Arthur Refinery (Total), Port Arthur 233,500 bbl/d (37,120 m�/d)
Port Arthur Refinery (Motiva Enterprises), Port Arthur 285,000 bbl/d (45,300 m�/d)
Port Arthur Refinery (Valero), Port Arthur 325,000 bbl/d (51,700 m�/d)
(list from Wikipedia)
Of course, the grid is not isolated from the market, so once transmission lines are restored, power can be bought from other areas. But it looks like 1.1 million bpd is going to be impacted seriously from the major infrastructure damage in Southeast Texas.
I also should point out that current repair estimates are based on computer modeling of damage. Things could be better or worse. Damage assessment continues today.
U.S. oil prices dropped $2 to a six-month low below $100 a barrel on Sunday as dealers bet on a swift recovery of the nation's energy production after Hurricane Ike.
Early reports from emergency officials and oil companies indicated little or no severe damage to infrastructure -- signaling a possible quick recovery to production in the coming days.
"The oil market is selling off because the early indications show Ike didn't do as much damage as feared," said Chris Jarvis, senior analyst at Caprock Risk Management. "That said, this sell-off could prove to be a bit premature, since it could be a while before things get back to normal."
"It may not be possible for us -- and other manufacturers -- to maintain normal supplies in the coming days," Chevron Corp (CVX.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) said in a statement.