If you think the Fed will stop hiking, look at Bitcoin

I wrote this nearly one year ago to the day--- And this is exactly what has happened. I boldfaced the important part for ya'll. :sneaky:

Ya know I read this post, and I didn't take it lightly. And I know I joke around a lot here, but I am being totally serious.

The debate can go on and on... is Bitcoin worth anything, or is it ether?

I really pondered it.. and the light came on. The answer to the question is, it doesn't matter. Because Baron, JohnnyArb, and several others here are not alone in their feelings. For lack of a better word, they are HODL'rs. True believers. And I suspect they are not alone. I mean... obviously they're not.

This world is a very fragile place, the bottom could be pulled out from under us in a minute. For real. It really could. If you think otherwise, you're stupid.

These Hodl'r types... like Baron and John, they are not selling. It's almost like a cult, and I don't mean that in a bad way. In fact I mean it in a good way. None of us know what tomorrow will bring, but the greater the uncertainty, the greater the value in the scarcity of an asset that many many wealthy, smart people will never sell. Wanna join the club? Pay the price.

I'm gonna make a very bold call here... sometimes I just feel things. And in 1000% full disclosure, I have never owned so much as 1 BTC... but I have a very strong feeling, and these don't come around often.... that Bitcoin is heading north.


It's funny, because the last time I looked, it was 24K. I don't follow it. But before I wrote this, I looked and it was 26K.

Am I calling a bottom? No, not necessarily, but I am saying that bitcoin will become the province of the elite, and as such... it is only heading north.

Ya'll can think I'm crazy.... but I'm right.
~vz
___________________

edit: 27K... I just looked again.
Probably the worst time to call it out as such.
Honestly... I had no idea.
I really didn't.
Whatever.
 
I wrote this nearly one year ago to the day--- And this is exactly what has happened. I boldfaced the important part for ya'll. :sneaky:
That's a fairly weak argument for value. But, yeah, it's still flying high. Not unlike a bumblebee. (Where's the damn stinger when you need it? :D )
 
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That's a fairly weak argument for value. But, yeah, it's still flying high. Not unlike a like a bumblebee. (Where's the damn stinger when you need it? :D )
I specifically wrote that whether or not there is actual value, "it doesn't"matter"--- Value is in the eye of the beholders, and this has played out exactly as I wrote, and tbh, I think it will continue to play out that way.
 
Indefinitely?
No idea, I wrote in my other thread that I worry about the bubble BTC has created, not BTC itself, but the ancillary bubble. And just yesterday I think it was the chap that runs NY state's public employee retirement pension, the retirements of teachers, police, fire fighters etc, had taken a huge stake in BTC recently. That kind of stuff is worrisome, but who knows.

https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/2024-stock-picks.377535/page-14#post-5935098

One things for sure though, all the logic and computer modeling in the world will never top the gift of a deep understanding of human nature.
 
BTC has a vulnerability no other hard asset like gold or silver has.
IF, and it's a big IF, we get into an exchange with Russia or China, it's highly likely that will involve an EMP. What happens to BTC then? They say the block chain can't be hacked, but what if is?
For the record, never owned BTC, a bit of an agnostic as far as a "store of value". I don't see it ever becoming a common means of exchange for day-to-day goods and services.
 
They say the blockchain can't be hacked, but what if is?

Hacking the blockchain would be like trying to hack the Bible. If you wanted to change a verse in the Bible to say that Jesus turned water into Bourbon instead of turning it into wine, how would you accomplish that? You could easily change your own Bible, but the trick is that you've also got to change the Bible of every person who currently owns one. That would be impossible of course because there are just way too many copies of the Bible in circulation.

Likewise, the Bitcoin blockchain can't be hacked because doing so would require that you hack each and every copy of the full and complete blockchain that is stored on computers all over the world. These computers are called Bitcoin nodes, and each node on the network has a complete copy of the entire Bitcoin blockchain on it. There are tens of thousands of nodes across the globe. Even if you were to hack a handful of nodes, that wouldn't accomplish anything at all. You'd need to hack all the nodes, similar to how you would need to hack every copy of the Bible to make the water-to-bourbon story permanent and believable.
 
Hacking the blockchain would be like trying to hack the Bible. If you wanted to change a verse in the Bible to say that Jesus turned water into Bourbon instead of turning it into wine, how would you accomplish that? You could easily change your own Bible, but the trick is that you've also got to change the Bible of every person who currently owns one. That would be impossible of course because there are just way too many copies of the Bible in circulation.

Likewise, the Bitcoin blockchain can't be hacked because doing so would require that you hack each and every copy of the full and complete blockchain that is stored on computers all over the world. These computers are called Bitcoin nodes, and each node on the network has a complete copy of the entire Bitcoin blockchain on it. There are tens of thousands of nodes across the globe. Even if you were to hack a handful of nodes, that wouldn't accomplish anything at all. You'd need to hack all the nodes, similar to how you would need to hack every copy of the Bible to make the water-to-bourbon story permanent and believable.
Thank you for that reply. I did not know how the BC works.
 
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