If you could have just one indicator, which would it be?

I like to to look for:

a) trending-following setups, when price pulls back to an EMA.
b) counter-trend setups, when price is over-extended, and near the boundary of a Bollinger Band.

Hence, my favorite indicators are EMA and Bollinger Band. It is my understanding that trend-following setups are usually more forgiving. If I really need to pick one, EMA would be my choice.

Just my two cents.
 
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IMHO, almost any technical indicator can be made at least marginally effective with a really good rule set which addresses entry confirmation, profit targets, and stop- loss levels. My view us that some indicators work better ( and intuitively make more sense of and explain the structure of price action ) better for certain trades and markets than others. And it is a highly personal and preferential choice.

Point being, just choosing a singular technical indicator does not make a trade work. The bigger component might just be the rules you put in place to make that indicator work in the market on a consistent basis. After you do that, then you have to figure out what tweaks you have to make over the long haul to keep your edge.

Simple question, my answer at least is " may not matter as much as you think". Depends on how you use it.
 
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Tough question J Trades; trend wise answer=10 year/all data , candle charts -price+ end of day/end of month-price.

Also as IBD [Investor Business Daily does], 50 dma-price , 200 dma-price, 50 dma-volume..........................................................................Donchian channels help.; wisdom is profitable to direct. Dont really need moving averages, but they are so good about underline prive, overline price.
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Repeating patterns can be helpful;
not a prediction, simply probabilities.
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If you could have just one technical indicator, which would it be?



PRICE

Indicators = sisters, brothers, Ma, Pa, friends, associates, gardener, cook, butler = thousands = not necessary

Eyes = Price ... reveals all without middlemen
 
I do use just one single anticipatory indicator signal in my hold/reversal trading to take the full offer of the market intraday.

It is three columns labelled 30, 5 and sentiment (left to right).

Arrows fill the columns, up for long and down for short.

three of a kind is a reversal. A reversal for me is an exit then immediately an entry.

I hold thru a signal if the two leftmost arrows are the same but different than the sentiment. This is what is known in CW as the beginning of a retrace and NOT the beginning of a reversal. Thus, I hold thru non-dominant legs of trends.

I take an early reversal when the 5 and sentiment are the same and also opposite the 30.

I leave the market briefly on the remaining combinations (2) that is possible whereby adjacent arrows are opposite.

The annual ROI of 12 streams of stocks @ 100K shares each and three commodities futures markets @ 100 contracts each, approximates 575% to the nearest 25%. The daily net is @ 1m and swept daily.

The three columns are determined by MSFT 360 Access running on an SQL arrangement.




Jack how are you feeling these days? Hopefully not too much pain. I wish you well.

I am interested to know the rational behind the 30min. Why not the 15m, or another other multiple of 5.

PS- I am interested to see a log, if you be so kind.
 
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