If You Can Draw A Straight Line . . .

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Quote from riaamaan:

Would it be fair to view the lower volume highs with suspicion? i.e. Susceptible to an imminent pullback?
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New highs don't consider volume, though perhaps I don't understand your question. The pullback began 8/13.
 
QQQ has been acting weak since the drop. I have noted on the chart places where the signs of weakness became more visible. The longer term trend is still up however on daily there are clear signs of weakness. The permanence of this weakness is debatable but for our purposes it's wiser to be cautious now.

I would start with posting QQQ daily chart and then in other posts show weekly and monthly situation as well.

Superman cannot soar without going through General Zod :cool: .

QQQ Daily:

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Gringo
 

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Quote from dbphoenix:

New highs don't consider volume, though perhaps I don't understand your question. The pullback began 8/13.
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If new highs don't consider volume, my question is answered. I was thinking that perhaps one should be looking for a more substantial pullback given the lower volume highs.
 
QQQ Monthly shows the path price took over a decade ago. This was the Tech Bubble era and the prices we are reaching now are approaching and into a potential danger zone. There may be turbulence around this altitude.

QQQ Monthly:
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Please note that the bull market started in early 2009 is still intact. We haven't had a recession for 4 years now. Keep the presidential cycle in mind. It's not a guarantee of recession or prolonged weakness but the bull market has been long in the tooth.

Gringo
 

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Quote from riaamaan:

If new highs don't consider volume, my question is answered. I was thinking that perhaps one should be looking for a more substantial pullback given the lower volume highs.
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Since price can rise or fall on high or low volume, volume isn't relevant. That's why new highs and new lows don't consider it.
 
Quote from dbphoenix:

Note also that price has been hugging the midpoint of the trend channel for two months now.
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Oh! I had missed that detail. Nice catch Db. Price has in the past played around the mid of the trend channel quite a bit and overcome it over the 4 years. Are we to assume that the lack of strength to go above the mid is a sign of weakness on part of demand? This message would certainly be more consistent with the information being gleaned from the dailies. Let me know what you think.

Gringo
 
Quote from Gringo:

Oh! I had missed that detail. Nice catch Db. Price has in the past played around the mid of the trend channel quite a bit and overcome it over the 4 years. Are we to assume that the lack of strength to go above the mid is a sign of weakness on part of demand? This message would certainly be more consistent with the information being gleaned from the dailies. Let me know what you think.

Gringo
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Given the decline in new highs, I'd say so.
 
So when price broke down out of the hinge this morning then reversed and started back up towards its highs at what point do you reverse and go long if you shorted the break out of the hinge?
 
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