... this is how I would have come by it ... more or less.
I did not intend to start a thread or journal, but some recent discussions about technical analysis and price action analysis have spawned a few comments from others that got me thinking ... and here I am - starting a journal (of all things) at ET (of all places)!
Two comments in particular sparked my imagination this morning. The first comment was from wrbtrader:
He continued:
And the other from comment came from Mtrader:
The recent passing of Mark Douglas prompted me to go back and re-read his book, The Disciplined Trader. That re-reading combined with some of the recent discussions here concerning TA & PA and trading further met with the two above mentioned "catalysts," and at least for today, I have become a journalist.
I put this idea in motion this morning, but I have hesitated all day as to whether or not I truly wanted to get this started. But, I figured I can always just stop posting, have the thread closed, "cut my losses short" if need be. So here it goes.
___________________________________________________
I'm going to trade a simple TA system using a simple technical construct known as a "moving average." I will not share any of the technical details (chart, data interval), trade management details, entry and exit details, etc. other than to say that short trades occur when price is trading from below the moving average, and long trades are signaled only when price is trading from above the moving average. The set up is identified by the technical indicator(s), the signal and entry is determined by subsequent price action.
What I do consider important is not the system itself, but the following considerations that I will abide by: Trade size starts at one contract, initial trading instrument is the 6E, daily loss limit is $300/contract, maximum per trade risk is $125/contract exclusive of commission, fees, and any slippage experienced in or out, time frame is 7:30 AM Eastern until 12:00 PM Eastern. Set-ups occurring between 7:15 - 7:30 AM Eastern will be honored if I am at my desk and I am prepared to trade. I am always prepared to trade by 7:30 AM or I do not trade that day. No trades will be taken on NFP dates until after the NFP data is released. I will not trade this system the morning of FOMC announcements.
If this thread proceeds civilly and I don't lose interest in the work of keeping up a journal, I intend to add the ES and the ZB eventually. Trade size will increase at regular benchmarked intervals.
The main idea of this journal is simply to execute a simple technical, mechanical trading system, and then to see where that takes me. The particulars of the system are irrelevant to the main theme, and sharing them and opening them up to discussion would only distract from what I am trying to accomplish.
In anticipation of possibly starting this journal I traded this system today. There were four set ups and two signals, one resulted in a loss of 7 ticks, the other a profit of 20 ticks, and two set ups required a risk in excess of the $125/contract per trade limit and were consequently not traded.
Here is how I intend to post results going forward:
I will post results each day I trade this system. I will try to note here ahead of time when I will not be trading this system.
I did not intend to start a thread or journal, but some recent discussions about technical analysis and price action analysis have spawned a few comments from others that got me thinking ... and here I am - starting a journal (of all things) at ET (of all places)!
Two comments in particular sparked my imagination this morning. The first comment was from wrbtrader:
For example, there was a guy that showed up at TradersLaboratory with verified proof that a particular Japanese Candlestick pattern doesn't work (his results were 43% reliability) ... Someone made an adjustment in his trade management rules ... The reliability changed from 43% to 58% ... further adjustments ... and the ... reliability changed from 58% to 65%.
He continued:
My point is this, anybody can show that something doesn't work. Yet, find out what the trade management rules were, data and time of the trade signals then make appropriate changes in the trade rules, switch trading instruments if needed (this gets into diversification) and so on...the reliability and other stats will change...sometimes dramatically.
And the other from comment came from Mtrader:
Take away all my money. Give me $ 5000 to start trading again and I will repeat what I did the previous years. It was not luck, it was a systematic mathematical approach
The recent passing of Mark Douglas prompted me to go back and re-read his book, The Disciplined Trader. That re-reading combined with some of the recent discussions here concerning TA & PA and trading further met with the two above mentioned "catalysts," and at least for today, I have become a journalist.
I put this idea in motion this morning, but I have hesitated all day as to whether or not I truly wanted to get this started. But, I figured I can always just stop posting, have the thread closed, "cut my losses short" if need be. So here it goes.
___________________________________________________
I'm going to trade a simple TA system using a simple technical construct known as a "moving average." I will not share any of the technical details (chart, data interval), trade management details, entry and exit details, etc. other than to say that short trades occur when price is trading from below the moving average, and long trades are signaled only when price is trading from above the moving average. The set up is identified by the technical indicator(s), the signal and entry is determined by subsequent price action.
What I do consider important is not the system itself, but the following considerations that I will abide by: Trade size starts at one contract, initial trading instrument is the 6E, daily loss limit is $300/contract, maximum per trade risk is $125/contract exclusive of commission, fees, and any slippage experienced in or out, time frame is 7:30 AM Eastern until 12:00 PM Eastern. Set-ups occurring between 7:15 - 7:30 AM Eastern will be honored if I am at my desk and I am prepared to trade. I am always prepared to trade by 7:30 AM or I do not trade that day. No trades will be taken on NFP dates until after the NFP data is released. I will not trade this system the morning of FOMC announcements.
If this thread proceeds civilly and I don't lose interest in the work of keeping up a journal, I intend to add the ES and the ZB eventually. Trade size will increase at regular benchmarked intervals.
The main idea of this journal is simply to execute a simple technical, mechanical trading system, and then to see where that takes me. The particulars of the system are irrelevant to the main theme, and sharing them and opening them up to discussion would only distract from what I am trying to accomplish.
In anticipation of possibly starting this journal I traded this system today. There were four set ups and two signals, one resulted in a loss of 7 ticks, the other a profit of 20 ticks, and two set ups required a risk in excess of the $125/contract per trade limit and were consequently not traded.
Here is how I intend to post results going forward:
I will post results each day I trade this system. I will try to note here ahead of time when I will not be trading this system.
(not investor)
