Were at 1.1 mil infected with a little over a 6% mortality . Its very possible with all states opening up and no vaccine for 18-24 months we could have 15 mil infected and 1 million deaths . Trump told us 3 weeks ago we'd be no more than 64k deaths by Aug and here we sit at 64k deaths May 1st.
If 15 mil infected with virus before vaccine 1 million people will have died
- Thread starter hafez50
- Start date
If you mean in the US? How many of those 1.2 million have recovered? How many are ACTIVELY infected right now? That Johns Hopkins number you see on the CNN is "total number of cases". There is no mention of how many have ever recovered on that sidebar.
In fact, I bet if they tested the entire country for Herpes Simplex 1, the "total number of cases" would be 200 million, or whatever the USA population is divided by half. Do we panic on that one? No!
Germany gets flunked around a lot, 150k active cases around 8000 deaths. So might take this as best case scenario, around 5,3% death rate when everyone follows the rules.
There is a huge difference between 1.1 million confirmed cases and the actual number of infections. That variance is likely to be MUCH larger than the confirmed vs actual Covid deaths. So the actual mortality rate is likely much lower than 6%.
So your saying that there could be 3 million people out there that haven't been tested that have had it or didn't know it and never got sick ? So when you test everyone the death % will go way down. Very plausible .
Maybe 1 million infections in NYC based on this.
"Between March 22 and April 4, those hospitals screened 215 pregnant women for SARS-CoV-2 (the virus that causes COVID-19), and 33 women, or 15%, tested positive. Of these who tested positive, 29 women — or nearly 14% — showed no symptoms."
https://www.livescience.com/coronavirus-in-pregnant-woman-high-nyc.html
You just noticed that possibility ? What planet are so many people living in ??
The shame is it is the same planet I live in and too many people with little idea on how to interpret numbers unfortunately influence policies,
That actually means almost 88% of the infected women showed no symptom.