Identifying trend

Is this not sound logic...

EUR/USD has been going down consistently over the past 2 weeks. Therefore, it will continue to go down (based on the same forces causing it to go down) unless a greater force acts upon it.

?????
No, it is not sound logic; your logic is tautological.
 
how did you do it? what triggered your entry? why exit when you did?

I saw that it was clearly trending down consistently for 2 weeks based on a 90ema. (This was the only currency pair out of about 10 that I checked that I could say this about)

I sold it, and placed SL and TP at points that I eyeballed that would make my prediction either true or false. I got busy with other things, fell asleep for a few hours, and by the time I remembered about it again, I had closed at the TP for $929.

Then a few hours later, I scanned currency pairs (I currently only scan popular pairs because they have the least bid-ask spread). Once again, EUR/USD was the only one with a clear trend. I sold it. This time, I closed it manually at a profit of $143 because I didn't want to get too greedy for the day.
 

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KISS, you can't, not with 100% accuracy so keep it simple, for me that's just become above 42ema is up and below is down,

Accept nothing is perfect and move on!!
 
KISS, you can't, not with 100% accuracy so keep it simple, for me that's just become above 42ema is up and below is down,

Accept nothing is perfect and move on!!

I had planned on adjusting my EMA after some testing.

So you don't require that it's trending for a certain amount of time?
 
I had planned on adjusting my EMA after some testing.

So you don't require that it's trending for a certain amount of time?

I use an Envelope 0.01% (2pts on NQ ) of market value so I have a no trend area for sideways, but no above I trade longs, below I trade short.

It improves the odds, not perfect, striving for perfect will hold you back as nothing ever is perfect.
 
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