IBM

[oldnemesis]

http://www.investors.com/news/techn...nings-beat/?ven=YahooCP&src=AURLLED&ven=yahoo

http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/tops...-revenue-in-14-years-etfs-in-focus/ar-BBrY9JQ

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/04/19/cramer-damage-to-ibm-netflix-hard-to-reverse.html?__source=yahoo|finance|headline|headline|story&par=yahoo&doc=103561113

http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/financials/fi-126.1.IBM.NYS

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ibm

Trade:
With IBM at 144.0
Oct 115/110 bull put spread for a net credit of $35
Yield = 35/465 = 7.5% in 184 days or 14.9% annually
Prob = 88%
Expectation = .88(35) - .07(465) - .05(233) = 30.8 - 32.6 - 11.6 = -13.4

Price.............. Profit / Loss.......... ROM %
80.00................. (465.00)............ -92.50%
100.00............... (465.00)............ -92.50%
110.00............... (465.00)............ -92.50%
114.65.................... 0.00............... 0.00%
115.00.................. 35.00............... 7.50%
120.00.................. 35.00............... 7.50%
140.00.................. 35.00............... 7.50%
160.00.................. 35.00............... 7.50%
180.00.................. 35.00............... 7.50%

 

[oldnemesis]

A post from what's-his-name reminds me to add that I probably will not trade this in my account since I don't trade IBM as a rule.