Very true, the one main insider will own 95% of the company, and his share arn't going anywhere.
Plus I think the dutch auction system gaurentees no gap-down on the first day. An IPO priced in other ways may be overpriced.
An IPO sold dutch auction style.. gets sold to all bidders at the lowest price. That means the bidders who bidded more will probably want to buy more shares when the IPO opens up for trading. A lot of people might say "I want an XXXXX$ investment in this company" and if they happen to get filled at the auction cheaper then expected, they might buy shares at the open.
Of course, there's always flipper risk.. if the price doesn't start moving up when the people who intend to flip the IPO want to sell, that might push the price down due to panic selling.
Anyway, I'm in for a few hundred shares, cuz I think i can make 10 - 20% on the first day flipping it.