I think all you guys looking for a crash...
- Thread starter SoyUnGanador
- Start date
When I drive a vehicle I can only see ahead as far as the next bend in the road, beyond that I have no clue what's ahead.
At the moment I see no issues, the signs are positive, so remaining bullish.
Around the corner might be Russia issue or Russia China Iran combined issue, or Omicron might go nasty, or even Evergrande contagion may turn into an issue.
It can also go the other way, Russia China Iran Omicron resolved and Evergrande resolved.
If I own realestate, that takes a while to unload, if I own stocks I can unload hundreds of thousands of dollars in less than an hour.
It can go the other way but unless something very disastrous happens to the western world,
money printing is over and interest rates are going up.
Property will go nowhere or down.
You would had you traveled that road before no?
That said, I agree, there are no foreseeable black swans ahead.
I do wonder however why I'm seeing multi-million dollar short term bets being placed on a 20%+ Nasdaq correction.
Keep an eye on our boy Putin.
A friend of a friend of a friend who knows, says he's exhibiting some serious issues. IE, he's losing his mind and in the process envisions "the old Russia".
I have no idea, but I do have to wonder why I am seeing million dollar plus bets being placed near term on a significant correction.
Everyday is a new day and a new road.
If the trading road was that familiar we would all be filthy rich.
Yes, strangely I feel the Biden administration smell blood with Putin.
It would not surprise me that Biden doesn't push Putin over the edge so that Biden decides now a good time to go in for the kill and maybe give China a smack around the ears while he's at it, because China feels emboldened and will do something stupid like they always do, and blame the West like they always do.
You didn't include that caveat in your analogy fwiw there Roo.
They won't do anything until after the Olympics.
Putin on the other hand... he's watching the weather and could care less about everything else.
300K troops and heavy equipment... he needs the ground to be frozen.
It wasn't when I wrote this, but now it is.
https://elitetrader.com/et/threads/gba-presents-the-green-market.361511/page-336#post-5503953
https://www.weatherwx.com/forecasts/ua/kiev.html
I'm sick of the big fat lie. From 2009 the future generations have unwittingly funded a fake economy. The planet has been badly damaged by over consumption and greed. We will be blamed, while most of us do not wish to eat more than one lunch at a time. All wealth comes at someone else's expense
You just predicted the next "disaster".
In September 2019 or around that time, the banks were fighting with the Fed over reserve ratios (cannot find a reference, but this is off memory). The Fed fought back and said "only if you lend coloured people money". The banks laughed. Then covid. Reserve ratios went to zero:
There will be another disaster requiring zero interest rates, zero reserve ratios, etc.
The market WILL. NOT. FALL. Buybacks will continue. Edit: BTW, I think buybacks are the main driver of the stupid values of the indices.
That is their mandate.
When it stops, no one knows. I guesstimate at least 3 more years, if not 10.
Last edited: