MissouriWhich state do you live in?
MissouriWhich state do you live in?
Of course it's true, I didn't make this post to bull shit you guys or to show off, I did it to show that there's unconventional ways to invest and make good money. Are bonds considered sleazy? Yea probably so, but I don't care it provides me a good return on money that I already have invested. I still sleep like a baby every night.And apparently bail bonds is a legitimate form of investment: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bail-bond.asp
The guy is not exaggerating.
He's not very well Like by most professional agents. He is what gives the business a bad name. I despise people like him in the bonding business.I am sure OP hedges with this:
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It's a perfect inperfect system. We could privatize defendants release. Then we the tax payers would pay for the supervision while they wait trial. I don't use one penny of tax payers money and provide the same service.No wonder the american "justice" system is getting worse.
We indemnify the bond, so the defendants family is responsible for the recovery fee. So the defendant would be back in jail and his family would owe money.That's a question for Dog the Bounty Hunter. But my question is what if the guy who skipped bail were in collusion with the bounty hunter to screw the bondsman. The guy can pretend to skip bails for the bounty hunter to earn a fee to catch him and then share the fee with the bounty hunter. The bondsman would've been screwed and won't even know it.
The key is you last sentence, risk. It's not clear that the risk adjusted return of this investment type is any higher than the risk adjusted return of putting your money in a CD in a bank. People who talk in terms of absolute ROI rather than risk adjusted return are probably both unaware of the concept and being fooled by a big number without fully taking into account the risk that comes with it. Everyone does it when the risk adjusted return is higher than T-bills. Otherwise it's just selecting your own point on the risk aversion/seeking continuum."...everyone would be doing it" This is a stupid argument I hear all the time from limited mindset people. There are opportunities like this and people getting rich on them every day! Most people believe in 9 to 5, that's why they are doing 9 to 5. These opportunities may seem "easy" at first but if you dig deeper there's a great amount of work and risk you have to be willing to take that most people are not willing to take.
Long term data of bail bond investing, over 50 years worth, shows a 9 percent return vs liabilty. But liabilty is not actual money invested, what I mean is that every bond doesn't really have 100 percent cash or asset backing. Missouri uses the ×15 rule, assets times 15 equals amount you can have in liabilty. Also no one bond can be more then half of assets. So my 100k gives me 1.5mil in total power and 50k max per bond. I write on average 1.5 million per year and make 10 percent on that. I have about a 1 percent loss on forfitures. The bonds are also consigned for the defendants to indemnify them. The cosigner is usually a family member, I then can get a judgment for my loss. Most pay but some don't, so I do have a small loss to gross premiums. We don't write a bond for everybody, we actually turn down a lot of them. Guys in this business that don't do due diligence make a ton of money the first 2 years then go out of business on their 3rd or 4th year when all the bad bonds they wrote start getting final judgment of forfiture.The key is you last sentence, risk. It's not clear that the risk adjusted return of this investment type is any higher than the risk adjusted return of putting your money in a CD in a bank. People who talk in terms of absolute ROI rather than risk adjusted return are probably both unaware of the concept and being fooled by a big number without fully taking into account the risk that comes with it. Everyone does it when the risk adjusted return is higher than T-bills. Otherwise it's just selecting your own point on the risk aversion/seeking continuum.
Like the billions in risk that car insurance and health insurance company's have? If everybody on a policy wrecked they would go out of business? Zero chance of a wipe out no one bond can be over 50k all bonds are indemnified also. Any incurred loss results in loss of collateral or judgments and wage garnishment. Cosigners are thoroughly credit checked. I guess some of the largest surety companies in the busiemss, Berkshire Hathaway being a large underwriter have been losing money for 75 years in this business. Probability models. You don't bond out every tom dick and harry. They have to pass a risk assessment. If somebody has ever missed court in their life the are rejected unless they put up full collateral to back the entire bond. If somebody lives out of state they are rejected without full collateral. Lifelong locals with minimal criminal history with assets is are core customer." I write on average 1.5 million in bonds per year, I make 10 percent of that amount in premiums roughly 150k. I have a 1 percent forfiture rate, meaning the defendent failed to appear and was not located, btw the courts give me up to two years to find them so forfiture is extremely rare. My average gross return is 135k per year on a 100k portfolio. "
The risk that a larger amount of people skip bail and leave you holding your nutsack is the same risk as selling credit spreads all year long pretending to make huge return on actual capital but not the actual return on the leverageed margin/risk.
If your $100,000 portfolio is making $150,000 a year on $1.5 million of actual exposed risk/leverage, then you are making about 10% a year gross. Less than 10% if your average return is $135k.
yes...your actual return on risk capital is LESS THAN 10%.... what a genius you are. I am surprised most of you missed this.
The fact that your ignorance overlooks that makes your post look like a shill shit show...
Cannot believe how noaive some people are.
Hey I am making 10% a year on a highly leveraged SERVICE I provide.... yes that is the stupid part, you are not making an investment, you are providing a service of lending out money in a high risk situation.
Your BUSINESS returns 10% gross a year on risk adjusted capital with potential for wipeout very high. This is a shit business, not an INVESTMENT.