Quote from fxstudent:
Thanks to everyone that replied even if in the long run one of you try to sell me something. Looking at the percentage of successful traders to unsuccessful traders I wonder how much of you that replied to my post are amongst the successful.
Some of the posts I found really good because it was a challenge and forced me to question myself.
I do believe that their are successful traders out their that are willing to help someone like me that is committed. I will never give up trying to be consistently profitably. You don't have be a geniuses or have great power or have loads of cash, but what successful traders have is an EDGE, all I and any one out their in my shoes need to do is find an edge or develop one.
Maybe my approach to this thread was wrong. What I am going to do is turn it into an egde developing Journal...how?...I am not sure.
I trade forex on multiple pairs using support and resistance, Fibonacci level and chart patterns all of this will hopefully help me to determine price action. My entry will be on the 1hour time frame. Why trade this way?... simply trial and error.
It may sound like sarcasm but it is not...
If price is going up then you go long
If price is going down then you go short.
Forget the diagonal & squiggly lines, Fibonacci, oscillator, and other misc BS...
Diagonal Lines:
By the time they are of any use they are of no use at all.
They do tell you that...
1. You should have bought earlier
2. You should have exited higher when you had the chance
Squiggly Lines:
We can throw oscillators and moving averages here, anything based on the movement of price over time cannot be better than the movement of price over time.
Fibonacci (as a method of buying a retrace):
You mean to tell me that price will reverse some where between 23.6 & a 61.8%+ (+ because price almost NEVER stops on a dime)?
Of course price is going to reverse somewhere between 23.6 & 99% of its previous move IF IT IS A CORRECTION!
Indicators with "secret settings":
They are only proprietary to increase the perceived value of expensive software or courses.
If you do not know how something works then you should not use it no matter what all the back/forward testing in the world implies.
What then can you use to trade?
The open, high, low, distance over time (range), progress over time (close).
The open, high, & low are represented by a horizontal line.
If price closes above a line over x period of time then price is going up.
If price closes below a line over x period of time then price is going...
you are right, price is going DOWN!
You don't believe me?
Here, take a look for yourself:
http://i25.tinypic.com/34q4n4k.gif
Now that you know how to find a trade, you can focus on things that really matter like: planning, position sizing, scaling, money management, your psychology, etc.