I have never met a successful trend follower

[SunTrader]

Correct. The Fed money printing has been keeping current trend going, going, going. Otherwise it trends very infrequently.

 

[tomorton]

That is why there are so many profitable forex traders.

It is true, though most traders don't follow this simple principle. They chase reversals.

 

[schweiz]

Legitimately? Nearly every post I read on this forum says that S&P is a mean reverting vehicle.

That is normal:those who know are silent, those who don't know speak (or ask advice).

Forums are filled with people trying to find an answer to the problem: how to become profitable.

Similar to car owners that post on internet. Those who have problems with teir car post about it, but those who are happy will almost never post. Same phenomenon.

 

[spy guy]

I'll assume you mean trend following...for real-time, not hindsight. (because it's easy to pull up historical charts and draw lines)
I like to think I'm kind of good at following/predicting/monitoring the trend for the Dow/spy/spx chart on a daily basis time frame.

You have to establish logical and rational initial loose, general, directional or semi-directional biases...and wait for the subtle, breakout signs or reversal signs to peek out and expose themselves. It's kind of a constant hybrid, dynamic dance to trade it successfully.
Scalping is for jackal amateurs -- I aim to seize the main, macro moves.

You can't trade or wait for or expect something...if you don't know what to look for, or reasonably hunt and position for.
It's all about understanding the hunting ground...and the relationship between the prey and predator -- and all its collective dynamic variables between them.

Part art, part science...if you have a linear, square brain looking for an automated solution Holy Grail you will fail.

Make Trading Great Again,
Get rich in 2018...High-Fives` all-around,

I concur

 

[1a2b3cppp]

I bet none of the people saying trend trading works in this thread are profitable traders.

 

[tomorton]

I bet none of the people saying trend trading works in this thread are profitable traders.

I am profitable and only take trend-following trades.

However, these are NEVER intra-day.

 

[Xela]

I bet none of the people saying trend trading works in this thread are profitable traders.

That's just plain rude, and insulting toward your fellow-members: you're calling us liars.

I don't see that going down too well, myself.

 

[Overnight]

Should I pull out the stupid chart, or is this thread finally done with stupid on trends?

 

[Overnight]

Should I pull out the stupid chart, or is this thread finally done with stupid on trends?

Never mind, no time to wait for stupid responses from the OP.

Digest the following, and then reconsider what you are on about, OP.

http://www.cmegroup.com/education/f...h-managed-futures-historical-perspectives.pdf

 

[Flowfollower]

During the inflationary "glory days" of trend following in the 1970s/80s there were plenty of CTAs putting up insane annualized returns strictly from trend following strategies.

If inflationary "glory days" are back, then is it time for trend following to shine again?