Quote from fhl:
Jon
Your argument has already been thrashed, and on this very thread, and by me. You're apparently not bright enough to figure it out.
lol oh ok we'll see.
Quote from fhl:It would also explain your defense of a certain smoke blower that runs a trading chat room around here. You just don't seem to be smart enough to discern the obvious.[/B]
If you are talking about Anek, then you have no idea how hilarious that sounds to those who trade with him (which I don't anymore). I'm not going to talk about him, besides to say he's the best trader I've ever seen trade in front of me. Let me guess, MACD told you to short today? lol.
Quote from fhl:All that is necessary to make a mockery of your argument is the knowledge that congress first harrassed, then codified regulations, to force financial institutions to make loans they didn't want to make. Those loans have now defaulted on a massive scale. That is your proof. That you would need more proof shows your lack of intelligence.[/B]
My lack of intelligence? lol after you bring this weak shit? What does that prove dumbass?
Think about what your saying before you say it to me. That a butt load of FNMA's loans are in default? No shit. FNMA is just as bad if not worse than all the other financial companies. Let me make sure this is the point you are making. The 10% of subprime loans that FNMA was responsible for, were far worse, and defaulted BEFORE all the other subprime loans? Is that seriously what you just said? after reading my second point in the beginning of this thread? Go back and read it again smart guy. No? Fine. I guess I have to make them again for the slower ones (you). Conforming loans-the only loans that FNMA can buy/sell-are subject to stricter underwriting guidelines than allllll the other subprime loans are. That is not my opinion, that is FACT. That is why they are called CONFORMING. The reason FNMA only held 10% of the market is because UNDERWRITING RESTRICTIONS WERE FAR LESS EVERYWHERE ELSE. Don't believe me? Ok, go look it up. Did you not catch that I was a mortgage broker? I never funded conforming loans, it was too much easier elsewhere.
But the CRA loans started the decline..
This HAS ALREADY BEEN ADDRESSED. Try to keep up. The hardest and FIRST hit places were not minority/ low income neighborhoods. Just look at the first states hit: FL,CA, AZ, NV. Have you ever been to AZ or NV? Oh yea, real minority/ low income hotspots. Show me a correlation between low income/minorities and those who defaulted first or defaulted at all. Its not there. READ MY POINTS.
That other loans have also failed is beside the point. Meaningless. Fnm and Fre went down The cdo's and cds and aig and banks failed <b>after</b> the gse's. When the phony loans mandated by democrats into gse's went bad, it brought down the entire real estate market and, thus, the cdo's (with the higher income loans) and cds's and everyone that held them. <b>first</b>. [/b]
Ohh I see. Yea you're right. Oh wait a second...Merril Lynch wrote down 8.4 billion in November 2007. Bank of America wrote down 3 billion after the 4th quarter of 2007. Goldman wrote down 3 billion in march of 08. Bank of America bought Merril in September of 2008. In that same month WAMU filed for chapter 11 bankruptcy. Lehman filed for the largest bankruptcy ever that same month. Fannie and Freddi recieved federal funds in September of 2008, a year after Merril and bank of america wrote down billions. Point being, failure happened pretty simultaneously, FNMA was hardly first.
They were the enablers of Barney Frank and Chris Dodd's meddling in the mortgage market to "stop the redlining" of low income neighborhoods. They were the present day architects of the structuring of phony loans.
Oh the subprime loan proliferation started with them? Really? I suppose its just coincidence that CDS market increased 1000% between 2002 and 2007, the SAME time the number of subprime loans originated also went up like crazy. Let me anticipate your response "the reason subprime loans increased is b/c of FNMA, the reason CDS increased is b/c the poor, poor financial institutions wanted to hedge themselves."
Explain to me how FNMA, with a market share of less than 10% of subprime loans, can be responsible for the 350% increase in subprime loans originated from 2002-2006.
This was my first point. I don't mind if you dont get it the first time, really I don't mind re-explaining it. But the fact that you talk shit and then need it to be re-explained to you is pretty funny.
Now if you want to say that Frank and FNMA had this brilliant and corrupt idea about subprime loans and CDS's and everyone else followed suit, I wouldn't be able to say if that was true or not.
Most around ET don't need to be taught about the cascading effects of what we're witnessing in the real estate markets and how it is filtering through to commercial real estate and credit cards and many other parts of our economy. They already understand it. Maybe when you grow up and become <i>slightly</i> more informed in the ways of the world, you'll be a better opponent on ET. Until then, most will simply ignore.
lol. maybe one day I will be smart and old enough to participate in the "Obama is lame" threads like you do between your MACD oscillations...
I just refuted everything you wrote with the points that I already made. You talk shit to me about not being smart, when you didn't even grasp what was already written. lol, only on ET.