I think pschology is important, but not all. I hope I am a machine with no emotion, then I can do it perfectly.
the problem is we are human beings. when you saw a dip, you buy, and you gain, this will give you pleasant experience. i bet you will do it naturannly next time. but if next time it does not work, and you hold on until you got a big loss, this experience is an unpleasant one. when you saw a dip aagin, even it is the same as the first one, i bet you will first hesitate or get confused a while since you will be afraid of the occurace of the bad experinece of last time.
we learn things through experince, then associate the outside info with the experience. too bad.
that is why we are in the same market, but we get different feelings or interpretations. the same dip, maybe to one person it is a haven sent opportunity, but to another person it may be a confsuion, to a third person it may be "get out or hit the road run" signal.
that is why the market created 90% losers since we are human beings, we learn things by generalization, emotionalziation, association.....our brains could not deal with constant changing knowledge!
I just wish I was a robot, then I could execute my trade perfectly!
like this moring, I shorted crude, but somehow I started to scalp crude by longing. late I figured out I had too much experience of daily movements of the crude!
Quote from chrisdunn:
What's an interesting bet?
So, the only psychological issue is "I can't do it"? Maybe that's the only one you went through but a lot of traders have other issues... for example...
1. Getting in to early (aggressive, greed)
2. Hesitating (unconfident, fear)
3. Trying to hard (struggle, not flow) check out this blog post- http://bit.ly/2XVon
I know guys that have been trading for 30 plus years, and they still work on psych stuff... I've only been trading for 7, and still have a long way to go...
Anyone who downplays the psych part of trading is probably a robot or hasn't been around long enough to experience all the emotions trading throws at you.