All other things being equal, probability of losing 1 point trading ES is higher than making 1 point, due to the 0.25 spread.
Vast majority of people who attempt it will end up losing 1 point more often than making 1 point.
This post makes no sense. The min spread on ES in .25. So why does that mean that probability of losing in the spread is greater than gaining in the spread? Totally confused on that logic.