this, I guess, is the point of SCI: Buying or selling pullbacks has close to zero, often negative expectation, factoring in the multiple attempts you have to make to get this one right. In plain English: You lose money trading pullbacks. Are there specialists who can make consistent money trading pullbacks only? Sure there are, but none of you here on ET sound like one (exclusively trading pullbacks I mean)
To me, most who go against clear trends sound like some disgruntled humans who find tremendous pleasure to go against the trend whenever they can and its certainly not a pretty picture in their trading accounts. Shorting AAPL here, proclaiming the success story of China dead (best one I heard so far), crucifying GS before any decision in any law courts have been reached, whatsoever. Its people who got hurt in trading, or this crisis, or their job, or whatever, and now they are fighting against the rest of the world. And I think the reason is that they actually belong somewhere in the woods of northern Alaska to wrestle with their hurt ego, ALONE. They are just too big of a pussy to actually do that, so they need to take it out on everyone else by going against any sort of trend. Being aligned with trends also gets you stopped out simply because most of the time markets are range bound. But if employed intelligently (no, crossovers of MAs is not considered intelligent) it at least results in a positive expectation strategy, after commission and other costs of execution.
BTW, your argument about day trading vs longer term trades is factually wrong. You would not take any larger risk at all if you widened your stops and lowered your size accordingly. So there is no higher risk in longer term trades than day trades. Unexpected gaps ups/downs over time average out and should even in the intermediate not hurt you because you trade lower size than you would in day trades. Of course this requires you are not fully margined ;-)
Quote from muller:
You know what a pullback is.
It means that the general trend is still intact.
So I am bullish on AAPL.
As for my personal trading; I never hold overnight positions.
Considering posting my opinions on this board; I merely use the logic I'm using in daytrading on daily and weekly periods, and many times my theories work out. If I'm wrong in daytrading there's a lot less pain. If I'm wrong here on the board I'm an idiot talkin bull. So fuckin what.
So I did miss that great gap up. I miss a lot of great opportunities, on the other side I miss a lot of great losses too. To me trading is my bread and butter rather than the big cash show. That's what I do.
Those who bought yesterday's bottom in anticipation of this positive price action were gambling because it might as well have gone the other way. So much for the intelligence. (They were a lot of intelligent traders in the 90s bull market.)
AAPL is great for those who bought at 220 or 205 or much earlier.
To go long at this price level I'd like to see some good old price action to tell me to do so.