Quote from tea_leaf:
Hi Jack,
1. Bar 80 (July 1st) was stated as EE (BM REV). Should we place BM on the high of this bar? If there's a BM, Bar 1 would have been an EE BM,REV.
2. Bar 80 was a D-ND turn (a turn). Looking at Modrian Panel (Set A), I don't see BM,REV -> PP1 as the turn signal.. Why did you go short on Bar 1 OB?
Thanks for your reply...
I made two passes on that postion of the chart. When you reread them you will notice some of the issues you raise.
For the remaining issues you reveal to all, the best approach is to look at my charts and logs as they are posted and take note of new items that come up.
Right now I am packaging all my posts in this thread (the ones that have the answer sheets associated with them).
If you happened to have printed and punched there into a 3 ring binder, do the following:
!. put a note on the verso prior to the failsafe sheet.
It would read: if both BM and RTL are in force, then both must be true (On Modrian panel) for appropriate set. Example: see 1JUL13, bar 80.
Also write a note to say: If either BM or rtl are in force, then consider true in force and act accordingly.
Next, add two balnk pages before the Modrian Table. Copy the above two notes to the second blank page verso.
Since you are assimilating all of this, let me finish the open on 2JUL13 with all the details of how the BM and rtl affect the long sentiment starting on bar 2. And the rtl and BM on the short beginning on bar 4. I also corrected my mistake on bar 5 which IS a WAIT bar.
The long is uneventful and two tests had to be passed (rtl and BM).
The short had only a BM and no rtl. So only the BM could be tested, Any rtl needs a T1 and not a P2 to be tested.
bar 5 touches the BM. Bars 6 and 7 do go through the BM but they retrace back into the short territory so there is no test on any of these bars.
Bar 7 has established that the short is in effect in terms of CW thinking. the yellow beyond bar 7 on bar 8 shows an internal is setting up a wait on bar 8. thus this is a weak sentiment building.
as you can see from my mistake, I am very habitul about using the P1 to T1 to P2 OOE. It occurs often and is very relaxing as a market expression. Three bars happen and the trend is just rucking along making money.
But in this case, I was too sure and a little careless. So I got to have a learning experience.
I will address the queasiness potential traders face next.
