HowardCohodas Index Options Credit Spread Trading Journal

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It's your thread. Do what you wish. If by some means, magical or other, you managed to survive last week without a serious loss in your account, I'm all ears to learn how you did it.:confused:
 
Quote from eudaemon:

It's your thread. Do what you wish. If by some means, magical or other, you managed to survive last week without a serious loss in your account, I'm all ears to learn how you did it.:confused:

He could have simply rode it out. There is no haircut on a vertical, other than the risk-debit. However, there was an inference that he did cover or performed a magical roll.
 
Howard

Use a BLOG. Nobody here has any advice to give you if you are convinced your system is working. On a BLOG you can ruminate all you want without the backchat. I think the usefulness of any backchat has passed the point anyway.

I´m interested in what Arabian Nights has to say, from his years of scalping. There HAS to be a wealth of useful tidbits he could contribute there, that have no actual technical basis, just based on gut intuition on market reading. THAT interests me.

Had a good morning and in my funny money account am UP to 197% in 4 and a half months. My cheque went out and now I await an account number with TOS for REAL MONEY. Now that is a different dish and those algorythms used in funny money are not going to work anymore for FILLS. I´m VERY curious how real money trading will be effected?

On a different note, threw in an extra OEX trade and it did fairly well on the jump this morning. My only curiousity, is will this work in real money trading?

The SPY did okay too, held over from Friday for $2740. Still funny money. I´m working on a 4 day trade as background for a short term intra day trade idea. If it fills, OKAAY- If not, I have backup with some extra days available for things to happen in SPY. Testing the idea.
 
Quote from falconview:

Im saying I almost always intend to buy the bid or sell the ask, or ideally both.

Arabian nights.

I find that interesting. I´ve been waiting for the daily to settle down and make a 25 cent to 30 cent range in the SPY and then buying the low premium with a limit order and marking up .12 cents and selling on a limit order. It has worked out okay, but somedays I have to hold over another day. Trading with the trend of course.

That was valuable information. You got any more nuances on this you are willing to share?

ATTICUS Ay yi yi!

"The 20-25 delta risk-reversal plays the index outright, simply 1/2 size and at a large +expectancy due to the vol-surface. You can earn more that trading ES futures outright(=delta)."

I didn´t quite follow that! Would you be so kind as to elaborate as in trading for dummies! :D Presuming this is straight buying and selling, not using spreads. It sounds interesting?

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Here is an equidistant strike risk-reversal quote. Long the call, short the put. You see the premium at $0.58 (midpoint on highlighted row) related to the put over the call. That is the skew in dollars as the position is nearly neutral delta. Close enough for illustration.

You sell the put at $0.58 over the call. The deltas are in the 50-60 range. If you trade a two lot you're trading 100 SPY long. You're long convexity on a number of greeks, so your deltas will rally along with SPY.

You're long the vol surface and short the vol-line. It's not necessary to understand that, but realize that you will earn incrementally from a drop in volatility. It's monetized by that $0.58 premium in the put over the call.

SPY is up 2.07
RR is up 3.04 (118*2)+(34*2)

RR is up 50% more due to the fact it was an ATM strike on Friday. I use it to illustrate a currently neutral RR. Friday's neutral RR would have been up 25% more than the SPY long shares.
 
Quote from atticus:

He could have simply rode it out. There is no haircut on a vertical, other than the risk-debit. However, there was an inference that he did cover or performed a magical roll.

Early in the thread Howard specified a routine (not completely clear) for closing positions "in jeopardy" or rolling them. If he followed that, then there were transactions last week made on a harsh volatile environment. Many of them not pleasant nor profitable. That is what I was asking about.

edited out Q for atticus...
 
Quote from eudaemon:

I must be missing something.

Let's see: If it goes up I'm long, winning but paying time decay with vega dropping(bad). Not so good.
If it goes down I'm long, losing but collecting time decay with vega increasing(bad). Shitty.
If earthquake hits. I'm naked. Not nice.

Imo long symmetrical call spreads have better odds for the long side, no?. (HoCo strategy too!)

Risk reversals play better on the bear side. Imo.

This understanding of the RR is flawed. Thanks for clarifying with your post above, atticus.
 
Quote from eudaemon:

Of course if you can make 4 tics daily consistently trading the ES mini directly with 100 lots (a measly 20 lots of SP pit contract), then you are making more than $1,000,000 per year. If you can make 10 points per day, like most ET posters pretend they are doing, then you are making more than $10,000,000 per year.

You can forget about crappy options in that case. A total waste of time.

Easier said than done, but if you wish to explain how you do it consistently I'm all ears and eyes... I swear I will not tell anyone.

I don't trade ES (although I am considering doing it around roll time etc.... first I want to get FTSE over rolls sorted though). I trade STIRs... won't give my pnl figures for last year but you're in right ball park, shall we say. As for how I do it, just look at my sig on t2w and view the "serious thread", which I am adding to slowly over time.

NEXT!
 
Quote from HowardCohodas:

I think you are sure, but prefer lulz.

Howard, I've always given you the benefit of the doubt, even when it strains credulity... please extend me the same courtesy :)

It's a shame you intend to move to a place where you can censor all criticism. That doesn't sound like genuine intellectual inquisitiveness to me ya know...
 
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