market direction is mostly 50/50 random (spy/qqqq)
try not to trade it
stock direction is not random most of the times, it has its reasons.
trading what you see is a misnomer few people understand, people see stocks as a one dimensional object, when you compare it in relative to another object or stock
then you have a benchmark where you can actually trade what you see.
trade on a 2 dimensional level, have a benchmark and a trading object.
market direction is random. repeated once again.
----
Lets say you are trading a bag of apples, most of them in the same bag look relatively good, but how do you know how good are they since they are all from the same bag?
The only way is to go a find another seller which sells from a different source, and check their bag of apples.
You can't judge the quality of an apple in the same sack, some may look better then others, but if one is infected with apple flu, most likely most of them are. You can compare quality if you had other supplier.
So you must look 2 dimensional.