How would a SWIFT ban impact owning Russian stocks?

newwurldmn said:
Or he takes over Ukraine, sanctions are relieved and Russian stocks rally 50percent.
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Or he takes over Ukraine, sanctions are not relieved and Russian stocks drop again 50percent.
Nobody knows.

Or Putin dies and Russian stocks rally 50percent.
 
virtusa said:
So what is the answer? What should that Russian exactly do?
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Kill Putin, because I like your previous comment...

"Or Putin dies and Russian stocks rally 50percent."

Hell yeah, let's bring back a Gorbachev. He seemed a calm and reasonable fellow. He even had Russia as a birthmark on his bald head, lol! That's a guy you can kinda' believe in!
 
virtusa said:
Or he takes over Ukraine, sanctions are not relieved and Russian stocks drop again 50percent.
Nobody knows.

Or Putin dies and Russian stocks rally 50percent.
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thats my point. It’s not obvious that kgilroy’s trade idea is bad (contrary to your post). I would say the risk reward favors him.
 
newwurldmn said:
thats my point. It’s not obvious that kgilroy’s trade idea is bad (contrary to your post). I would say the risk reward favors him.
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I don't agree.
If nobody knows what can happen, the probability to make a profitable trade is too low for me. I never trade anything if I don't have a probability of making money that is much higher than the probability to lose money.
50/50 is not good enough for me. So the risk reward is not favoring anybody. It should be above 50%.
 
virtusa said:
I don't agree.
If nobody knows what can happen, the probability to make a profitable trade is too low for me. I never trade anything if I don't have a probability of making money that is much higher than the probability to lose money.
50/50 is not good enough for me. So the risk reward is not favoring anybody. It should be above 50%.
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Would you take a trade where you can make 5 to lose 1 with 49:51 odds?
 
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