How will you play dollar crash?

Quote from Ivanovich:

I agree - it looks very much like after the party was over and the punchbowl taken away, the government is stepping in to restock the liquor cabinet with liquor borrow from local stores, but not before making sure everyone has their keys back to drive when they leave the party.

Reckless.
Somehow the closing scenes out of that 'Carrie' movie come to mind...
 
Quote from Bigpipn:

About to print a 9 momo sell on the daily. Selling Eur/Usd at 5pm. Stop is 20 pips above today's high.

Target is ~1.33

Ballsy. Let's see how that goes.
 
This is the first thread that I have enjoyed reading all the posts. Let me sum up:

Before 2pm:
- Beware bomb will be dropped.
+ Nah, no such thing could happen
- Bomb could be dropped
+ No, no. Impossible for such crazy thing can happen

After 2pm:
- Bomb dropped
+ People die and some left for good.

:D :D :D :D :D
 
I've been thinking about doing this, please everyone let me know your opinions. Just putting my cash into a basket of currencies and rebalancing monthly. Wouldn't that essentially keep you constant with regards to currencies?

I don't think you want to just be in currencies, since they are all competitively devaluing, but I think I'll always have a portion of cash.
 
Quote from jsv416:

Fundamentally Bankrupt government. Approximately 50 trillion in unfunded liabilities in soc. security and medicare. Current account deficit in the trillion $ range.

I said "dollar must weaken" and how you would play a hypothetical dollar crash "scenario". I know the dollar has to "crash" vs. some other currency. My question is what avenues of wealth protection will you take to protect yourself IF this scenario played out. What currency would you go to? Would you play it via an ETF such as UDN? Would you buy foreign currency cd's? I already have my plan just wondering what others are thinking.

Unfunded liabilities can't bankrupt you since the liabilities can be removed by policymakers.

Furthermore, those liabilities go towards spending -within- the economy. Worst case, medicare spending goes to make higher percentage of GDP go into medical services ... subsidizing a wealth transfer.
 
Quote from Ivanovich:

I agree - it looks very much like after the party was over and the punchbowl taken away, the government is stepping in to restock the liquor cabinet with liquor borrow from local stores, but not before making sure everyone has their keys back to drive when they leave the party.

Reckless.

I have been saying pretty much the same thing for months. The Federal Reserve and the U.S. government are playing a game of ultra high stakes poker here and just went all in... The best I can see for the future at this point is that we reflate the bubble as best we can and then the crash to end all crashes comes in another decade or so... Ron Paul must be losing his fucking mind... I am afraid the point of no return has been crossed. If we had just sucked it up and taken our medicine for all of the irresponsibility and excess of the last couple decades people my age might have had a chance to build some wealth on a solid economic foundation. But instead, AS IS ALWAYS THE CASE, the government panders to the constituency that has all of the money and political power, i.e., baby boomers who are getting ready to retire and cannot stand to see all of their assets continue to plummet. This is REAL shortsighted in my opinion and will probably make a TRUE recovery impossible for a very, very long time.
 
Quote from Bigpipn:

About to print a 9 momo sell on the daily. Selling Eur/Usd at 5pm. Stop is 20 pips above today's high.

Target is ~1.33

FWIW I was stopped out on first trade but took this 5 count sell for 67 so 37 net..

This rally has more steam, will look in 3 more days for 13 count sell or series of lower highs and lower lows...
 

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Quote from TraderZones:
Picking directions is a loser's bet.
Unless you have bona fide inside information...
This is ALWAYS true.

FX is for hedging, not gambling...
Like if you live in a country other than USA...
And have legitimate business reasons to hedge your local currency.
 
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