Quote from enlightedtrader:
...I've made the following observations on ER2 open:
The prices during the first five minutes are quite noise and it is hard to see any trend. After 5 minutes, the noise gets smaller and you can sense the emerging of a trend. At 10 minutes, the picture is more clear and defined and it is possible to enter a trade at this time.
I want to mention the above pattern appears in quite high probability during the past months I've been observing. Of course if there is a big gap open the story can be quite different.
What's your comment on my observation?...
Quote from Spooz Top:
i don`t trade the first 1/2 hour or the last 1/2 hour.......the open between 9:30 & 10 is probably the most unpredictable time of the day so why skew the odds against you.......as far as the last 1/2 hour goes....it`s pretty easy to give back an entire day in that time frame.
Agree. The other thing is there are a lot of factors affecting how any of the eminis open each day. So to say "just do this" or "just do that" or "don't do this" or "don't do that" is pretty stupid. Success in this type of trade, or any trade, is created by:Quote from NihabaAshi:
Nobody is wrong or right in this thread due to the fact that nobody has shared specific details of their methodology for others to closely examine what the other trader is doing.
Thus, for trader A to say trading the Open isn't profitable...
That's someone saying that their method is not suitable for trading the Open.
Just the same, for trader B to say trading the Open is profitable...
That's someone saying that their method is suitable for the trading the Open.
Simply, trader A and trader B are using different methods.
Therefore, its pointless for someone to tell someone else they are wrong or it can't be done when you don't know what method they are using.
I myself don't trade the ER2 Open every trading day because some trading days there's just too much risk exposure.
Just a reminder, the thread title is the following...
How to trade market open for eminis.
If the only advice from you is to say it can't be done...at least explain (generalities is ok) what method you were using when you failed at trading the Open.
This way others can at least benefit from your comments about what not to do.
Mark
(a.k.a. NihabaAshi) Japanese Candlestick term
)Quote from BCE:
Agree. The other thing is there are a lot of factors affecting how any of the eminis open each day. So to say "just do this" or "just do that" or "don't do this" or "don't do that" is pretty stupid. Success in this type of trade, or any trade, is created by:
1. Observation. This is what the originator of this thread is doing evidently and that is always the most important aspect of any trading strategy. Know the underlying issue you're trading.
2. You must understand the factors affecting the markets. Have they had a huge runup lately or selloff. Which way is the longer term trend. What is today's news - earnings, economic, etc?
To say trading the open is a waste of time and money is foolish. But to think that it's easy and a piece of cake is also foolish. If you do it well you can make good money. But it really isn't easy. If you don't know what you're doing, as in any trade, you'll get your clock cleaned by those more experienced traders on the other side of your trade. They're more than happy to take the money of someone who is just winging it. And as futures are so leveraged you can lose a lot of money in a few seconds. Good success trading to everyone here (except the assholes)